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Win probabilities for tonight's games, power rankings, and advanced stats for every team and player in the league. Updated daily, tracked publicly.
Model accuracy
62.0%
+8.1 pts vs baseline
Slate ready
6 games
Updated Mar 18, 7:17 AM ET
Tonight's signal
What makes PuckCast different
Three things most prediction sites skip entirely.
Confidence
Every game gets a grade from A+ through C based on how far the model's probability diverges from the market. A+ picks have hit 79.3% over 333 tested games. The grade tells you how hard to lean.
Goaltending
Starting goalie is the single most predictive variable in hockey. We track each goalie's save quality over their last 10 starts and factor it into every projection.
Accountability
We publish every projection before puck drop. Every result gets logged. You can see exactly where the model has been right and where it's been wrong. Nothing is hidden.
Power Index
Weighted blend of point pace, goal differential, recent form, and road strength — who's outrunning their record and who's living off luck.
▲ Biggest riser
Ottawa Senators+10▼ Biggest slider
Vegas Golden Knights-9Latest from the blog
Buffalo leads the Atlantic at 41-20-6 and has gone 9-1-0 in the last 10. After 15 years without a playoff appearance, the numbers say this team is legit.
Read more →Explore PuckCast
Team pages with stats, rosters, standings, and model projections for every franchise.
League leaders, individual profiles, and season projections for all NHL skaters.
Historical accuracy, calibration charts, and confidence breakdowns for transparency.
Deep dives on the model, methodology updates, and analysis of interesting matchups.
How PuckCast works, the team behind it, and the data sources that power every prediction.
