PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Model read · Tue, Nov 3
Projected score CAR 3.7 – 1.8 NSH expected goals from the goals model
Hurricanes project at 66% as the road lean — a B-tier edge worth 16.1 pts over a coin flip.
The model picks Hurricanes at 66.1%, a 16.1-point edge over a coin flip. How this is calculated.
PuckCast gives Hurricanes a 66.1% chance to win on Tue, Nov 3. CAR is 12-2-2 and NSH is 5-4-5. Projected in goal: CAR Pyotr Kochetkov, NSH Juuse Saros. The matchup detail follows.
Hurricanes with a 16.1-point edge, backed by goalie mismatch.
Multiple signals align in Hurricanes's favor. This is one of the cleaner setups on the slate.
NSH carries roughly a +0.8pp rest edge before model adjustments.
| Book | CAR | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Caesars | -189 | +158 |
| DraftKings | -192 | +160 |
| FanDuel | -192 | +158 |
| BetMGM | -200 | +165 |
| Fanatics | -200 | +165 |
Market: 5 books, best price at Caesars, lines as of Nov 3, 3:23 AM ET
Moneyline prices only — not a comparison against PuckCast’s model. See PuckCast Edge for the model-vs-market read.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: NSH 3, CAR 3
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 | CAR @ NSH | CAR 4, NSH 1 | CAR hit |
| 2025-12-06 | NSH @ CAR | NSH 3, CAR 6 | CAR hit |
| 2025-03-25 | NSH @ CAR | NSH 3, CAR 1 | CAR missed |
| 2024-12-23 | CAR @ NSH | CAR 2, NSH 5 | CAR missed |
| 2023-12-27 | CAR @ NSH | CAR 5, NSH 2 | NSH missed |
| 2023-12-15 | NSH @ CAR | NSH 6, CAR 5 | CAR missed |
3.71
CAR xG
1.79
NSH xG
5.5
Expected total
The lean against each posted line is part of PuckCast Edge — see “Model vs. market” below.
CAR
CAREach team's own xGF% and CF% at 5v5 this season, shown side by side — not a prediction of how tonight's game itself will split. Raw and unadjusted: no score, venue or schedule adjustment.
CAR top scorers
NSH top scorers
Six more reads on this game, past what’s free above: who’s out, how the starters are trending, the on-ice splits, the model’s read against the market, priced props and same-game combinations.
| Side | Grade | Market | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | B | |||
| NSH | B |
PuckCast Edge
Edge members see where the model and the market disagree on this game, and the best price to take.
234 graded Edge plays this season across 35 nights, each recorded before puck drop and graded at the price when captured. See every play
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