PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 projection
Every team’s projected point total and playoff odds, from 20,000 simulations of the full 84-game season. The model carries each team’s end-of-season rating forward, regresses it toward the league average, and then treats that rating as uncertain rather than known. That is what stops a preseason forecast from sounding more confident than it has earned.
| Team | Proj. pts | Playoffs | Division | Presidents’ | Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 COL | 107.1 | 78.3% | 27.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% |
2 CAR | 105.1 | 69.3% | 25.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% |
3 BUF | 104.2 | 67.2% | 20.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% |
4 TBL | 103.5 | 65.7% | 19.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% |
5 DAL | 103.2 | 70.4% | 19.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% |
6 MTL | 101.5 | 61.2% | 16.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% |
7 MIN | 100.7 | 65.5% | 15.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% |
8 OTT | 100.4 | 58.0% | 14.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% |
9 UTA | 98.8 | 60.8% | 13.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% |
10 BOS | 98.6 | 54.2% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% |
11 PHI | 98.2 | 53.4% | 13.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% |
12 WSH | 97.5 | 51.2% | 13.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% |
13 PIT | 97.2 | 50.9% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% |
14 EDM | 97.1 | 60.5% | 20.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% |
15 VGK | 96.2 | 58.1% | 18.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% |
16 CBJ | 95.5 | 47.6% | 10.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% |
17 STL | 94.2 | 50.0% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% |
18 ANA | 94.1 | 53.3% | 15.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% |
19 NYI | 93.8 | 42.2% | 8.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% |
20 NJD | 93.6 | 42.3% | 8.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% |
21 NSH | 93.3 | 47.6% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% |
22 FLA | 91.9 | 38.1% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% |
23 DET | 91.8 | 38.1% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% |
24 NYR | 91.4 | 37.5% | 6.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% |
25 SJS | 90.7 | 45.4% | 11.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% |
26 LAK | 90.4 | 44.3% | 11.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% |
27 CGY | 89.1 | 41.6% | 10.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% |
28 WPG | 89.1 | 38.0% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% |
29 SEA | 88.0 | 38.6% | 9.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% |
30 TOR | 84.5 | 22.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
31 CHI | 83.4 | 25.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% |
32 VAN | 79.6 | 21.8% | 3.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
Every regular-season game has a page with a forecast from these ratings: every game, forecast.
These are preseason numbers and they should be read as approximate. Run against nine past seasons, the projection’s point totals beat both a repeat-last-season baseline and a league-average one, and its playoff probabilities are calibrated: teams given a 70% chance made it roughly 70% of the time. That was not true before: an earlier version was systematically overconfident, giving 80-100% to teams that made it 76% of the time, because it treated each team’s rating as known rather than uncertain.
The Cup column is newer and carries a different kind of uncertainty. Each of the 20,000 simulated seasons builds its own playoff bracket from the standings that season produced, then plays it out, so the number reflects the fact that in August the seeding is as uncertain as the series. The seeding rule is not guesswork: replayed against every NHL season since the wildcard format began, it reproduces all eight first-round matchups in each one.
What cannot be claimed is that a 7% Cup number is calibrated the way the playoff odds are. Nine past seasons contain nine champions, which is not enough to check a 32-way outcome against, and no amount of simulation fixes that. Read the column as a ranking of contenders rather than a precise price. The favourite sits near 8%, and a field where the best team is a one-in-twelve shot is what the history of this league actually looks like.