PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Tue, Nov 17, 10:00 PM ET
Dustin Wolf · 0.899 SV%
The preseason ratings make San Jose Sharks 56.0% to win at home: a modest lean, worth 6.0 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project SJS for 91 points and CGY for 89.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives San Jose Sharks a 56.0% chance to win on Tue, Nov 17. The matchup detail follows.
CGY controlled play at 5v5 last season, 47.9% of the expected goals to 40.3%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Alex Nedeljkovic (SJS) saved -14.6 goals above expected to Dustin Wolf's -17.8, on save percentages of 0.896 and 0.899.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. San Jose Sharks over Calgary Flames is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
CGY
Dustin Wolf
57 games, 2025-26
SJS
Alex Nedeljkovic
40 games, 2025-26
| CGY | Metric | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| 47.9% | xGF% (5v5) | 40.3% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Coronato | R | 18 | 24 | 43 |
 Morgan Frost | C | 16 | 22 | 38 |
 Joel Farabee | L | 17 | 20 | 36 |
 Yegor Sharangovich | C | 17 | 17 | 33 |
San Jose Sharks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Macklin Celebrini | C | 39 | 60 | 99 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Calgary Flames | 89 | 41.6% |
| San Jose Sharks | 91 | 45.4% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: SJS 1, CGY 8
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | CGY @ SJS | CGY 2, SJS 1 | CGY hit |
| 2026-02-26 | CGY @ SJS | CGY 4, SJS 1 | CGY hit |
| 2026-01-31 | SJS @ CGY | SJS 2, CGY 3 | CGY hit |
| 2025-12-16 | CGY @ SJS | CGY 3, SJS 6 | CGY missed |
| 2025-11-13 | SJS @ CGY | SJS 0, CGY 2 | CGY hit |
| 2025-04-13 | SJS @ CGY | SJS 2, CGY 5 | CGY hit |
| 2025-04-07 | CGY @ SJS | CGY 3, SJS 2 | CGY hit |
| 2025-02-23 | SJS @ CGY | SJS 2, CGY 3 | CGY hit |
 Will Smith | C | 25 | 36 | 60 |
|---|
 Mason Marchment | L | 17 | 24 | 41 |
|---|
 Tyler Toffoli | C | 19 | 22 | 41 |
|---|
SJS@
ANA
