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2026-27 forecast · Wed, Feb 3, 9:40 PM ET
Joey Daccord · 0.897 SV%
The preseason ratings make Montréal Canadiens 55.7% to win on the road: a modest lean, worth 5.7 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project MTL for 102 points and SEA for 88.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
MTL controlled play at 5v5 last season, 50.0% of the expected goals to 45.8%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Joey Daccord (SEA) saved -18.4 goals above expected to Samuel Montembeault's -23.9, on save percentages of 0.897 and 0.872.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Montréal Canadiens over Seattle Kraken is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
MTL
Samuel Montembeault
25 games, 2025-26
SEA
Joey Daccord
47 games, 2025-26
| MTL | Metric | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| 50.0% | xGF% (5v5) | 45.8% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Montréal Canadiens
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 29 | 60 | 90 | |
| D | 11 | 67 | 77 | |
| R | 41 | 35 | 76 | |
| L | 24 | 38 | 62 |
Seattle Kraken
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 21 | 31 | 51 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | MTL @ SEA | MTL | MTL 4–3 SEA | Correct |
| 2025-10-14 | SEA @ MTL | MTL | SEA 4–5 MTL | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Montréal Canadiens | 102 | 61.2% |
| Seattle Kraken | 88 | 38.6% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| L | 20 | 25 | 45 |
| D | 10 | 31 | 41 |
| R | 16 | 23 | 39 |