PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sat, Feb 13, 10:00 PM ET
Adin Hill · 0.871 SV%
The preseason ratings make Vegas Golden Knights 59.8% to win at home: a modest lean, worth 9.8 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project VGK for 96 points and CGY for 89.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives Vegas Golden Knights a 59.8% chance to win on Sat, Feb 13. The matchup detail follows.
VGK controlled play at 5v5 last season, 54.7% of the expected goals to 46.1%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Dustin Wolf (CGY) saved -17.8 goals above expected to Adin Hill's -23.2, on save percentages of 0.899 and 0.871.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Vegas Golden Knights over Calgary Flames is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
CGY
Dustin Wolf
57 games, 2025-26
VGK
Adin Hill
27 games, 2025-26
| CGY | Metric | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| 46.1% | xGF% (5v5) | 54.7% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jonathan Huberdeau | L | 15 | 29 | 45 |
 Matt Coronato | R | 18 | 24 | 43 |
 Morgan Frost | C | 16 | 22 | 38 |
 Joel Farabee | L | 17 | 20 | 36 |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitch Marner | R | 25 | 63 | 87 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | CGY @ VGK | VGK | CGY 3–6 VGK | Correct |
| 2025-12-20 | VGK @ CGY | VGK | VGK 3–6 CGY | Missed |
| 2025-10-18 | CGY @ VGK | VGK | CGY 1–6 VGK | Correct |
| 2025-10-14 | VGK @ CGY | VGK | VGK 4–2 CGY | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Calgary Flames | 89 | 41.6% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 96 | 58.1% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
 Jack Eichel | C | 27 | 55 | 82 |
|---|
 Mark Stone | R | 17 | 34 | 51 |
|---|
 Shea Theodore | D | 8 | 34 | 42 |
|---|
VGK@
DAL
