PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Mon, Mar 1, 7:00 PM ET
Joey Daccord · 0.897 SV%
The preseason ratings make Winnipeg Jets 56.2% to win at home: a modest lean, worth 6.2 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project WPG for 89 points and SEA for 88.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives Winnipeg Jets a 56.2% chance to win on Mon, Mar 1. The matchup detail follows.
at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (44.6% to 44.5%).
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Joey Daccord (SEA) saved -18.4 goals above expected to Stuart Skinner's -28.0, on save percentages of 0.897 and 0.888.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Winnipeg Jets over Seattle Kraken is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
SEA
Joey Daccord
47 games, 2025-26
WPG
Stuart Skinner
50 games, 2025-26
| SEA | Metric | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| 44.5% | xGF% (5v5) | 44.6% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Seattle Kraken
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 21 | 31 | 51 | |
| L | 20 | 25 | 45 | |
| D | 10 | 31 | 41 | |
| R | 16 | 23 | 39 |
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 36 | 46 | 82 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Seattle Kraken | 88 | 38.6% |
| Winnipeg Jets | 89 | 38.0% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: WPG 6, SEA 3
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | SEA @ WPG | SEA 2, WPG 6 | WPG hit |
| 2025-11-13 | WPG @ SEA | WPG 3, SEA 5 | WPG missed |
| 2025-10-23 | SEA @ WPG | SEA 3, WPG 0 | WPG missed |
| 2025-03-16 | WPG @ SEA | WPG 3, SEA 2 | WPG hit |
| 2025-01-16 | SEA @ WPG | SEA 1, WPG 2 | WPG hit |
| 2024-10-24 | WPG @ SEA | WPG 4, SEA 3 | WPG hit |
| 2024-04-16 | SEA @ WPG | SEA 3, WPG 4 | WPG hit |
| 2024-03-08 | WPG @ SEA | WPG 3, SEA 0 | WPG hit |
| C | 28 | 45 | 73 |
| C | 26 | 31 | 57 |
| D | 11 | 37 | 48 |