PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Tue, Mar 16, 8:00 PM ET
Alex Nedeljkovic · 0.896 SV%
The preseason ratings make Chicago Blackhawks 50.2% to win at home: barely a lean at all, worth 0.2 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project CHI for 83 points and SJS for 91.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives Chicago Blackhawks a 50.2% chance to win on Tue, Mar 16. The matchup detail follows.
at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (39.9% to 40.3%).
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Spencer Knight (CHI) saved -12.5 goals above expected to Alex Nedeljkovic's -14.6, on save percentages of 0.902 and 0.896.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Chicago Blackhawks over San Jose Sharks is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
SJS
Alex Nedeljkovic
40 games, 2025-26
CHI
Spencer Knight
55 games, 2025-26
| SJS | Metric | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| 40.3% | xGF% (5v5) | 39.9% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
San Jose Sharks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Macklin Celebrini | C | 39 | 60 | 99 |
 Will Smith | C | 25 | 36 | 60 |
 Mason Marchment | L | 17 | 24 | 41 |
 Tyler Toffoli | C | 19 | 22 | 41 |
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Connor Bedard | C | 31 | 52 | 83 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| San Jose Sharks | 91 | 45.4% |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 83 | 25.9% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: CHI 6, SJS 3
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | SJS @ CHI | SJS 2, CHI 5 | CHI hit |
| 2026-04-06 | CHI @ SJS | CHI 2, SJS 3 | SJS hit |
| 2026-02-02 | SJS @ CHI | SJS 3, CHI 6 | SJS missed |
| 2025-03-13 | CHI @ SJS | CHI 2, SJS 4 | SJS hit |
| 2024-10-31 | CHI @ SJS | CHI 2, SJS 3 | CHI missed |
| 2024-10-17 | SJS @ CHI | SJS 2, CHI 4 | CHI hit |
| 2024-03-23 | CHI @ SJS | CHI 5, SJS 4 | SJS missed |
| 2024-03-17 | SJS @ CHI | SJS 2, CHI 5 | CHI hit |
 Patrick Kane | R | 18 | 36 | 54 |
|---|
 Teuvo Teravainen | C | 15 | 29 | 44 |
|---|
 Frank Nazar | C | 16 | 25 | 41 |
|---|
CHI@
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