PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sat, Apr 3, 12:30 PM ET
Igor Shesterkin · 0.912 SV%
The preseason ratings make New York Rangers 54.4% to win at home: barely a lean at all, worth 4.5 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project NYR for 91 points and FLA for 92.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives New York Rangers a 54.4% chance to win on Sat, Apr 3. The matchup detail follows.
FLA controlled play at 5v5 last season, 49.8% of the expected goals to 48.0%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Igor Shesterkin (NYR) saved 2.2 goals above expected to Jacob Markstrom's -29.8, on save percentages of 0.912 and 0.883.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. New York Rangers over Florida Panthers is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
FLA
Jacob Markstrom
44 games, 2025-26
NYR
Igor Shesterkin
51 games, 2025-26
| FLA | Metric | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| 49.8% | xGF% (5v5) | 48.0% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Florida Panthers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aleksander Barkov | C | 23 | 50 | 72 |
 Brady Tkachuk | L | 29 | 38 | 67 |
 Sam Reinhart | C | 31 | 34 | 65 |
 Matthew Tkachuk | L | 23 | 41 | 63 |
New York Rangers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Fox | D | 11 | 51 | 61 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | NYR @ FLA | FLA | NYR 2–3 FLA | Correct |
| 2026-03-29 | FLA @ NYR | NYR | FLA 1–3 NYR | Correct |
| 2026-01-02 | NYR @ FLA | FLA | NYR 5–1 FLA | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Florida Panthers | 92 | 38.1% |
| New York Rangers | 91 | 37.5% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
 Mika Zibanejad | C | 24 | 37 | 61 |
|---|
 J.T. Miller | C | 19 | 37 | 56 |
|---|
 Pavel Dorofeyev | R | 32 | 22 | 54 |
|---|
