PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Wed, Apr 7, 8:00 PM ET
Connor Hellebuyck · 0.895 SV%
The preseason ratings make Edmonton Oilers 50.3% to win on the road — barely a lean at all, worth 0.4 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project EDM for 97 points and WPG for 89.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
EDM controlled play at 5v5 last season, 51.0% of the expected goals to 47.7%; EDM's power play ran at 30.5% against a WPG kill at 77.6%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Connor Hellebuyck (WPG) saved -22.8 goals above expected to Tristan Jarry's -23.1, on save percentages of 0.895 and 0.882.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Edmonton Oilers over Winnipeg Jets is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
EDM
Tristan Jarry
33 games, 2025-26
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck
57 games, 2025-26
| EDM | Metric | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| 51.0% | xGF% (5v5) | 47.7% |
| 52.3% | Shot share | 48.7% |
| 3.4 | Goals for / game | 2.8 |
| 3.3 | Goals against / game | 3.1 |
| 30.5% | Power play | 18.5% |
| 75.9% | Penalty kill | 77.6% |
| 52.5% | Faceoffs | 51.1% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 40 | 87 | 127 | |
| C | 37 | 58 | 95 | |
| D | 17 | 59 | 76 | |
| C | 18 | 34 | 53 |
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 36 | 46 | 82 |
Comes in from Mon, Apr 5 · WPG @ UTA
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | EDM @ WPG | EDM | EDM 4–3 WPG | Correct |
| 2025-12-29 | EDM @ WPG | WPG | EDM 3–1 WPG | Missed |
| 2025-12-06 | WPG @ EDM | EDM | WPG 2–6 EDM | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Oilers | 97 | 60.5% |
| Winnipeg Jets | 89 | 38.0% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| C | 28 | 45 | 73 |
| C | 26 | 31 | 57 |
| D | 11 | 37 | 48 |