PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
The record
7,428 games across 6 seasons (2020-21 to 2025-26), every regular-season game graded. The certified record is a walk-forward backtest: each game from 2020-21 to 2025-26 was scored by a model trained only on earlier games, then graded. Those picks were reproduced after the fact, not published at the time. 2026-27 picks are published before puck drop and graded live, and the two records are kept separate. The headline on the performance page is reproduced from these exact rows in CI. Filter it however you like; the misses are in here. How picks are graded, and when each one locks, is written out below. This page has no P/L: the Edge plays, with their prices and P/L, are on the live Edge record.
The certified headline is 60.70% over 7,428 games. Accuracy counts the pick; log loss scores the probability behind it, so a confident miss costs more than a close call. Lower is better, and always predicting 50% scores 0.693. Seasons move, and every one is listed, the weak ones included.
| Season | Accuracy | Log loss |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 55.4% | 0.6816 |
| 2024-25 | 59.9% | 0.6613 |
| 2023-24 | 61.2% | 0.6557 |
| 2022-23 | 61.4% | 0.6527 |
| 2021-22 | 64.7% | 0.6463 |
1,312 games a season. Full seasons only; the shortened 2020-21 season is inside the headline but left out of this table. Brier and the rest of the season table are on the performance page; how far to trust a forward number is on model health.
Download
Every graded row as a CSV: date, game, teams, published probability, pick, grade, result. No odds, no edge, no units, no ROI. This is the record, not a betting artifact.