PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Thu, Oct 1, 8:00 PM ET
Juuse Saros · 0.894 SV%
The preseason ratings make Minnesota Wild 50.4% to win on the road — barely a lean at all, worth 0.4 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project MIN for 101 points and NSH for 93.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
MIN controlled play at 5v5 last season, 51.2% of the expected goals to 47.7%; MIN's power play ran at 24.3% against a NSH kill at 81.7%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Filip Gustavsson (MIN) saved -9.1 goals above expected to Juuse Saros's -28.0, on save percentages of 0.904 and 0.894.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Minnesota Wild over Nashville Predators is where it starts, not where it ends.
Best posted price per side across 4 books, taken Sep 17. The percentages beside them are what those prices imply with the book’s margin removed.
| Side | Best price | Book | Market (no vig) | Forecast | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | -130 | Fanatics | 56.6% | 50.4% | -6.2 pts |
| NSH | +127 | Bovada | 43.4% | 49.6% | +6.2 pts |
Total 6.5 · over +110 at Bovada · under -130 at Bovada. No lean either way: the preseason forecast has no goal model, so the model’s total publishes with the slate.
This is a rating forecast against a posted price, not a bet. No stake is sized and nothing here enters the graded ledger. The full model read publishes inside seven days of puck drop and replaces these numbers.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
MIN
Filip Gustavsson
50 games, 2025-26
NSH
Juuse Saros
59 games, 2025-26
| MIN | Metric | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| 51.2% | xGF% (5v5) | 47.7% |
| 49.5% | Shot share | 48.5% |
| 3.3 | Goals for / game | 3.0 |
| 3.0 | Goals against / game | 3.3 |
| 24.3% | Power play | 23.1% |
| 76.9% | Penalty kill | 81.7% |
| 47.0% | Faceoffs | 50.5% |
Minnesota Wild
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 35 | 45 | 80 | |
| L | 38 | 41 | 79 | |
| D | 12 | 67 | 78 | |
| D | 13 | 35 | 47 |
Nashville Predators
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 32 | 36 | 67 |
Season opener — no previous game, no rest edge either way.
Season opener — no previous game, no rest edge either way.
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | MIN @ NSH | MIN | MIN 1–2 NSH | Missed |
| 2026-02-04 | MIN @ NSH | MIN | MIN 6–5 NSH | Correct |
| 2025-12-23 | NSH @ MIN | MIN | NSH 3–2 MIN | Missed |
| 2025-11-04 | NSH @ MIN | MIN | NSH 2–3 MIN | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Wild | 101 | 65.5% |
| Nashville Predators | 93 | 47.6% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| C | 31 | 29 | 59 |
| C | 17 | 32 | 49 |
| D | 10 | 32 | 43 |