PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Sat, Oct 3, 7:30 PM ET
Ilya Sorokin · 0.906 SV%
The preseason ratings make New York Islanders 55.3% to win at home: a modest lean, worth 5.3 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project NYI for 94 points and NJD for 94.
The model leaned New York Islanders at 55.3%.
NJD controlled play at 5v5 last season, 49.0% of the expected goals to 47.7%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Ilya Sorokin (NYI) saved -6.3 goals above expected to Jake Allen's -7.2, on save percentages of 0.906 and 0.904.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. New York Islanders over New Jersey Devils is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
NJD
Jake Allen
37 games, 2025-26
NYI
Ilya Sorokin
55 games, 2025-26
| NJD | Metric | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| 49.0% | xGF% (5v5) | 47.7% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
New Jersey Devils
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jack Hughes | C | 31 | 53 | 84 |
 Jesper Bratt | L | 22 | 51 | 72 |
 Nico Hischier | C | 29 | 40 | 68 |
 Luke Hughes | D | 8 | 38 | 47 |
New York Islanders
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matthew Schaefer | D | 21 | 34 | 55 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | NYI @ NJD | NJD | NYI 3–1 NJD | Missed |
| 2026-01-06 | NJD @ NYI | NYI | NJD 0–9 NYI | Correct |
| 2025-12-23 | NJD @ NYI | NYI | NJD 1–2 NYI | Correct |
| 2025-11-10 | NYI @ NJD | NJD | NYI 3–2 NJD | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| New Jersey Devils | 94 | 42.3% |
| New York Islanders | 94 | 42.2% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
 Bo Horvat | C | 22 | 24 | 46 |
|---|
 Matias Maccelli | L | 12 | 24 | 36 |
|---|
 Simon Holmstrom | R | 17 | 20 | 36 |
|---|
TBL@
NYI
