PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Sun, Oct 4, 8:00 PM ET
Joey Daccord · 0.897 SV%
The preseason ratings make Seattle Kraken 54.1% to win at home: barely a lean at all, worth 4.1 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project SEA for 88 points and CGY for 89.
The model leaned Seattle Kraken at 54.1%.
at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (45.8% to 46.1%).
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Dustin Wolf (CGY) saved -17.8 goals above expected to Joey Daccord's -18.4, on save percentages of 0.899 and 0.897.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Seattle Kraken over Calgary Flames is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
CGY
Dustin Wolf
57 games, 2025-26
SEA
Joey Daccord
47 games, 2025-26
| CGY | Metric | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| 46.1% | xGF% (5v5) | 45.8% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Coronato | R | 18 | 24 | 43 |
 Morgan Frost | C | 16 | 22 | 38 |
 Joel Farabee | L | 17 | 20 | 36 |
 Yegor Sharangovich | C | 17 | 17 | 33 |
Seattle Kraken
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matty Beniers | C | 21 | 31 | 51 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | CGY @ SEA | SEA | CGY 1–4 SEA | Correct |
| 2026-01-05 | SEA @ CGY | CGY | SEA 5–1 CGY | Missed |
| 2025-12-18 | SEA @ CGY | CGY | SEA 2–4 CGY | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Calgary Flames | 89 | 41.6% |
| Seattle Kraken | 88 | 38.6% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
 Jared McCann | L | 20 | 25 | 45 |
|---|
 Vince Dunn | D | 10 | 31 | 41 |
|---|
 Jordan Eberle | R | 16 | 23 | 39 |
|---|
SEA@
WSH
