PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Tue, Oct 13, 9:45 PM ET
Dustin Wolf · 0.899 SV%
The preseason ratings make Anaheim Ducks 58.5% to win at home: a modest lean, worth 8.5 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project ANA for 94 points and CGY for 89.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives Anaheim Ducks a 58.5% chance to win on Tue, Oct 13. The matchup detail follows.
CGY controlled play at 5v5 last season, 47.9% of the expected goals to 44.2%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Dustin Wolf (CGY) saved -17.8 goals above expected to Lukas Dostal's -32.8, on save percentages of 0.899 and 0.888.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Anaheim Ducks over Calgary Flames is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
CGY
Dustin Wolf
57 games, 2025-26
ANA
Lukas Dostal
56 games, 2025-26
| CGY | Metric | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| 47.9% | xGF% (5v5) | 44.2% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Coronato | R | 18 | 24 | 43 |
 Morgan Frost | C | 16 | 22 | 38 |
 Joel Farabee | L | 17 | 20 | 36 |
 Yegor Sharangovich | C | 17 | 17 | 33 |
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cutter Gauthier | L | 34 | 29 | 63 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Calgary Flames | 89 | 41.6% |
| Anaheim Ducks | 94 | 53.3% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: ANA 5, CGY 4
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | ANA @ CGY | ANA 4, CGY 2 | CGY missed |
| 2026-04-04 | CGY @ ANA | CGY 5, ANA 3 | ANA missed |
| 2026-03-26 | ANA @ CGY | ANA 3, CGY 2 | ANA hit |
| 2026-03-01 | CGY @ ANA | CGY 3, ANA 4 | ANA hit |
| 2026-01-25 | ANA @ CGY | ANA 4, CGY 3 | CGY missed |
| 2025-04-09 | CGY @ ANA | CGY 3, ANA 4 | CGY missed |
| 2025-04-03 | ANA @ CGY | ANA 1, CGY 4 | CGY hit |
| 2025-01-30 | ANA @ CGY | ANA 1, CGY 4 | CGY hit |
 Leo Carlsson | C | 25 | 34 | 60 |
|---|
 Beckett Sennecke | R | 21 | 34 | 55 |
|---|
 Jackson LaCombe | D | 10 | 36 | 46 |
|---|
ANA@
NYI
