PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Sat, Oct 10, 6:00 PM ET
Jacob Markstrom · 0.883 SV%
The preseason ratings make Minnesota Wild 50.5% to win on the road: barely a lean at all, worth 0.5 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project MIN for 101 points and FLA for 92.
The model leaned Minnesota Wild at 50.5%.
MIN controlled play at 5v5 last season, 51.2% of the expected goals to 49.8%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Filip Gustavsson (MIN) saved -9.1 goals above expected to Jacob Markstrom's -29.8, on save percentages of 0.904 and 0.883.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Minnesota Wild over Florida Panthers is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
MIN
Filip Gustavsson
50 games, 2025-26
FLA
Jacob Markstrom
44 games, 2025-26
| MIN | Metric | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| 51.2% | xGF% (5v5) | 49.8% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Minnesota Wild
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 35 | 45 | 80 | |
| L | 38 | 41 | 79 | |
| D | 12 | 67 | 78 | |
| C | 17 | 24 | 41 |
Florida Panthers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 29 | 38 | 67 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | MIN @ FLA | MIN | MIN 3–2 FLA | Correct |
| 2026-01-24 | FLA @ MIN | MIN | FLA 4–3 MIN | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Wild | 101 | 65.5% |
| Florida Panthers | 92 | 38.1% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| C | 31 | 34 | 65 |
| L | 23 | 41 | 63 |
| C | 23 | 29 | 52 |