PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Tue, Oct 20, 7:00 PM ET
Lukas Dostal · 0.888 SV%
The preseason ratings make New York Islanders 55.7% to win at home: a modest lean, worth 5.7 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project NYI for 94 points and ANA for 94.
The model leaned New York Islanders at 55.7%.
PuckCast had New York Islanders at 55.7% to win this game on Tue, Oct 20. The matchup detail follows.
NYI controlled play at 5v5 last season, 50.5% of the expected goals to 44.2%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Ilya Sorokin (NYI) saved -6.3 goals above expected to Lukas Dostal's -32.8, on save percentages of 0.906 and 0.888.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. New York Islanders over Anaheim Ducks is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
ANA
Lukas Dostal
56 games, 2025-26
NYI
Ilya Sorokin
55 games, 2025-26
| ANA | Metric | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| 44.2% | xGF% (5v5) | 50.5% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cutter Gauthier | L | 34 | 29 | 63 |
 Leo Carlsson | C | 25 | 34 | 60 |
 Beckett Sennecke | R | 21 | 34 | 55 |
 Jackson LaCombe | D | 10 | 36 | 46 |
New York Islanders
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matthew Schaefer | D | 21 | 34 | 55 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Anaheim Ducks | 94 | 53.3% |
| New York Islanders | 94 | 42.2% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: NYI 3, ANA 3
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | NYI @ ANA | NYI 1, ANA 5 | NYI missed |
| 2025-12-11 | ANA @ NYI | ANA 2, NYI 5 | ANA missed |
| 2025-03-09 | NYI @ ANA | NYI 1, ANA 4 | ANA hit |
| 2024-10-29 | ANA @ NYI | ANA 3, NYI 1 | NYI missed |
| 2024-03-10 | NYI @ ANA | NYI 6, ANA 1 | NYI hit |
| 2023-12-13 | ANA @ NYI | ANA 3, NYI 4 | NYI hit |
 Bo Horvat | C | 22 | 24 | 46 |
|---|
 Simon Holmstrom | R | 17 | 20 | 36 |
|---|
 Brayden Schenn | C | 12 | 18 | 31 |
|---|
NYI@
NSH
