PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Thu, Oct 22, 7:30 PM ET
Darcy Kuemper · 0.891 SV%
The preseason ratings make New York Islanders 58.3% to win at home: a modest lean, worth 8.3 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project NYI for 94 points and LAK for 90.
The model leaned New York Islanders at 58.3%.
PuckCast had New York Islanders at 58.3% to win this game on Thu, Oct 22. The matchup detail follows.
NYI controlled play at 5v5 last season, 50.5% of the expected goals to 48.3%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Ilya Sorokin (NYI) saved -6.3 goals above expected to Darcy Kuemper's -22.9, on save percentages of 0.906 and 0.891.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. New York Islanders over Los Angeles Kings is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
LAK
Darcy Kuemper
50 games, 2025-26
NYI
Ilya Sorokin
55 games, 2025-26
| LAK | Metric | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| 48.3% | xGF% (5v5) | 50.5% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Artemi Panarin | L | 25 | 47 | 72 |
 Adrian Kempe | R | 27 | 31 | 58 |
 Quinton Byfield | R | 22 | 31 | 52 |
 Kevin Fiala | L | 22 | 28 | 50 |
New York Islanders
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matthew Schaefer | D | 21 | 34 | 55 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Kings | 90 | 44.3% |
| New York Islanders | 94 | 42.2% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: NYI 1, LAK 5
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | LAK @ NYI | LAK 3, NYI 2 | NYI missed |
| 2026-03-05 | NYI @ LAK | NYI 3, LAK 5 | LAK hit |
| 2025-03-11 | NYI @ LAK | NYI 1, LAK 4 | LAK hit |
| 2024-12-10 | LAK @ NYI | LAK 3, NYI 1 | LAK hit |
| 2024-03-11 | NYI @ LAK | NYI 0, LAK 3 | LAK hit |
| 2023-12-09 | LAK @ NYI | LAK 2, NYI 3 | LAK missed |
 Bo Horvat | C | 22 | 24 | 46 |
|---|
 Simon Holmstrom | R | 17 | 20 | 36 |
|---|
 Brayden Schenn | C | 12 | 18 | 31 |
|---|
NYI@
MIN
