PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Sun, Oct 25, 3:00 PM ET
Jacob Markstrom · 0.883 SV%
The preseason ratings make Florida Panthers 51.9% to win on the road: barely a lean at all, worth 1.9 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project FLA for 92 points and CHI for 83.
The model leaned Florida Panthers at 51.9%.
PuckCast had Florida Panthers at 51.9% to win this game on Sun, Oct 25. The matchup detail follows.
FLA controlled play at 5v5 last season, 53.7% of the expected goals to 39.9%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Spencer Knight (CHI) saved -12.5 goals above expected to Jacob Markstrom's -29.8, on save percentages of 0.902 and 0.883.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Florida Panthers over Chicago Blackhawks is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
FLA
Jacob Markstrom
44 games, 2025-26
CHI
Spencer Knight
55 games, 2025-26
| FLA | Metric | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| 53.7% | xGF% (5v5) | 39.9% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Florida Panthers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brady Tkachuk | L | 29 | 38 | 67 |
 Sam Reinhart | C | 31 | 34 | 65 |
 Matthew Tkachuk | L | 23 | 41 | 63 |
 Carter Verhaeghe | C | 23 | 29 | 52 |
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Connor Bedard | C | 31 | 52 | 83 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Florida Panthers | 92 | 38.1% |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 83 | 25.9% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: CHI 2, FLA 4
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | FLA @ CHI | FLA 5, CHI 1 | FLA hit |
| 2025-10-07 | CHI @ FLA | CHI 2, FLA 3 | FLA hit |
| 2025-02-01 | CHI @ FLA | CHI 1, FLA 5 | FLA hit |
| 2024-11-21 | FLA @ CHI | FLA 1, CHI 3 | FLA missed |
| 2023-11-12 | CHI @ FLA | CHI 3, FLA 4 | FLA hit |
| 2023-11-04 | FLA @ CHI | FLA 2, CHI 5 | FLA missed |
 Teuvo Teravainen | C | 15 | 29 | 44 |
|---|
 Frank Nazar | C | 16 | 25 | 41 |
|---|
 Tyler Bertuzzi | L | 20 | 20 | 40 |
|---|
CHI@
BOS
