PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Fri, Oct 23, 8:00 PM ET
Samuel Montembeault · 0.872 SV%
The preseason ratings make Montréal Canadiens 58.5% to win on the road: a modest lean, worth 8.5 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project MTL for 102 points and CHI for 83.
The model leaned Montréal Canadiens at 58.5%.
PuckCast had Montréal Canadiens at 58.5% to win this game on Fri, Oct 23. The matchup detail follows.
MTL controlled play at 5v5 last season, 53.2% of the expected goals to 39.9%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Spencer Knight (CHI) saved -12.5 goals above expected to Samuel Montembeault's -23.9, on save percentages of 0.902 and 0.872.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Montréal Canadiens over Chicago Blackhawks is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
MTL
Samuel Montembeault
25 games, 2025-26
CHI
Spencer Knight
55 games, 2025-26
| MTL | Metric | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| 53.2% | xGF% (5v5) | 39.9% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Montréal Canadiens
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lane Hutson | D | 11 | 67 | 77 |
 Cole Caufield | R | 41 | 35 | 76 |
 Juraj Slafkovský | L | 24 | 38 | 62 |
 Noah Dobson | D | 12 | 37 | 48 |
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Connor Bedard | C | 31 | 52 | 83 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Montréal Canadiens | 102 | 61.2% |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 83 | 25.9% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: CHI 2, MTL 4
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 | CHI @ MTL | CHI 1, MTL 4 | MTL hit |
| 2025-10-11 | MTL @ CHI | MTL 3, CHI 2 | MTL hit |
| 2025-04-14 | CHI @ MTL | CHI 4, MTL 3 | MTL missed |
| 2025-01-03 | MTL @ CHI | MTL 2, CHI 4 | MTL missed |
| 2023-12-22 | MTL @ CHI | MTL 5, CHI 2 | CHI missed |
| 2023-10-14 | CHI @ MTL | CHI 2, MTL 3 | CHI missed |
 Teuvo Teravainen | C | 15 | 29 | 44 |
|---|
 Frank Nazar | C | 16 | 25 | 41 |
|---|
 Tyler Bertuzzi | L | 20 | 20 | 40 |
|---|
CHI@
DET
