PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Model read · Tue, Nov 3
Devils project at 57% as the home lean — a B-tier edge worth 7.3 pts over a coin flip.
The model picks Devils at 57.3%, a 7.3-point edge over a coin flip. How this is calculated.
PuckCast gives Devils a 57.3% chance to win on Tue, Nov 3. EDM is 11-2-2 and NJD is 9-5-0. Projected in goal: EDM Tristan Jarry, NJD Connor Hellebuyck. The matchup detail follows.
Devils with a 7.3-point edge, backed by goalie out.
Net-positive signal profile for Devils. Grade: B.
NJD carries roughly a +1.6pp rest edge before model adjustments.
| Book | EDM | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +135 | -161 |
| Caesars | +130 | -154 |
| DraftKings | +130 | -154 |
| FanDuel | +128 | -154 |
| Fanatics | +125 | -149 |
Market: 5 books, best price at BetMGM, lines as of Nov 3, 3:23 AM ET
Moneyline prices only — not a comparison against PuckCast’s model. See PuckCast Edge for the model-vs-market read.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: NJD 4, EDM 2
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 | NJD @ EDM | NJD 2, EDM 1 | EDM missed |
| 2025-10-18 | EDM @ NJD | EDM 3, NJD 5 | EDM missed |
| 2025-03-13 | EDM @ NJD | EDM 2, NJD 3 | EDM missed |
| 2024-11-04 | NJD @ EDM | NJD 3, EDM 0 | NJD hit |
| 2023-12-21 | EDM @ NJD | EDM 6, NJD 3 | EDM hit |
| 2023-12-10 | NJD @ EDM | NJD 1, EDM 4 | EDM hit |
3.75
EDM xG
2.84
NJD xG
6.59
Expected total
The lean against each posted line is part of PuckCast Edge — see “Model vs. market” below.
EDM
EDMEach team's own xGF% and CF% at 5v5 this season, shown side by side — not a prediction of how tonight's game itself will split. Raw and unadjusted: no score, venue or schedule adjustment.
EDM top scorers
NJD top scorers
Six more reads on this game, past what’s free above: who’s out, how the starters are trending, the on-ice splits, the model’s read against the market, priced props and same-game combinations.
| Side | Grade | Market | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | B | |||
| NJD | B |
PuckCast Edge
Edge members see where the model and the market disagree on this game, and the best price to take.
234 graded Edge plays this season across 35 nights, each recorded before puck drop and graded at the price when captured. See every play
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