PuckCast Edge
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Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Model read · Tue, Nov 3
Rangers project at 53% as the home lean — a C-tier edge worth 2.7 pts over a coin flip.
The model picks Rangers at 52.7%, a 2.7-point edge over a coin flip. How this is calculated.
PuckCast gives Rangers a 52.7% chance to win on Tue, Nov 3. STL is 7-6-1 and NYR is 7-7-1. Projected in goal: STL Joel Hofer, NYR Dylan Garand. The matchup detail follows.
Model favors Rangers at 53% with a 2.7-point edge.
Mixed signals in this matchup. The model gives Rangers the edge at grade C.
STL carries roughly a +0.8pp rest edge before model adjustments.
| Book | STL | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Caesars | +106 | -125 |
| DraftKings | +105 | -125 |
| BetMGM | +100 | -120 |
| Fanatics | +100 | -120 |
| FanDuel | -102 | -118 |
Market: 5 books, best price at FanDuel, lines as of Nov 3, 3:23 AM ET
Moneyline prices only — not a comparison against PuckCast’s model. See PuckCast Edge for the model-vs-market read.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: NYR 3, STL 3
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 | NYR @ STL | NYR 2, STL 1 | NYR hit |
| 2025-11-24 | STL @ NYR | STL 2, NYR 3 | NYR hit |
| 2024-12-15 | NYR @ STL | NYR 2, STL 3 | NYR missed |
| 2024-11-25 | STL @ NYR | STL 5, NYR 2 | NYR missed |
| 2024-03-09 | STL @ NYR | STL 0, NYR 4 | NYR hit |
| 2024-01-11 | NYR @ STL | NYR 2, STL 5 | NYR missed |
2.84
STL xG
2.44
NYR xG
5.28
Expected total
The lean against each posted line is part of PuckCast Edge — see “Model vs. market” below.
STL
STLEach team's own xGF% and CF% at 5v5 this season, shown side by side — not a prediction of how tonight's game itself will split. Raw and unadjusted: no score, venue or schedule adjustment.
STL top scorers
NYR top scorers
Six more reads on this game, past what’s free above: who’s out, how the starters are trending, the on-ice splits, the model’s read against the market, priced props and same-game combinations.
| Side | Grade | Market | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | C | |||
| NYR | C |
PuckCast Edge
Edge members see where the model and the market disagree on this game, and the best price to take.
234 graded Edge plays this season across 35 nights, each recorded before puck drop and graded at the price when captured. See every play
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