PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Model read · Tue, Nov 3
Projected score ANA 3.3 – 3.2 VAN expected goals from the goals model
Ducks project at 56% as the road lean — a B-tier edge worth 6.0 pts over a coin flip.
The model picks Ducks at 56.0%, a 6.0-point edge over a coin flip. How this is calculated.
PuckCast gives Ducks a 56.0% chance to win on Tue, Nov 3. ANA is 6-7-1 and VAN is 3-12-1. Projected in goal: ANA Lukas Dostal, VAN Leevi Merilainen. The matchup detail follows.
Ducks with a 6.0-point edge, backed by goalie out.
Multiple signals align in Ducks's favor. This is one of the cleaner setups on the slate.
VAN carries roughly a +0.8pp rest edge before model adjustments.
| Book | ANA | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | -149 | +125 |
| Caesars | -152 | +128 |
| BetMGM | -154 | +125 |
| DraftKings | -154 | +130 |
| Fanatics | -154 | +130 |
Market: 5 books, best price at DraftKings, lines as of Nov 3, 3:23 AM ET
Moneyline prices only — not a comparison against PuckCast’s model. See PuckCast Edge for the model-vs-market read.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: VAN 7, ANA 2
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | VAN @ ANA | VAN 6, ANA 5 | ANA missed |
| 2026-04-12 | VAN @ ANA | VAN 4, ANA 3 | ANA missed |
| 2026-03-24 | ANA @ VAN | ANA 5, VAN 3 | ANA hit |
| 2026-01-29 | ANA @ VAN | ANA 0, VAN 2 | ANA missed |
| 2025-11-26 | VAN @ ANA | VAN 5, ANA 4 | ANA missed |
| 2025-04-05 | ANA @ VAN | ANA 2, VAN 6 | VAN hit |
| 2025-03-05 | ANA @ VAN | ANA 2, VAN 3 | VAN hit |
| 2025-02-27 | VAN @ ANA | VAN 2, ANA 5 | VAN missed |
3.32
ANA xG
3.23
VAN xG
6.55
Expected total
The lean against each posted line is part of PuckCast Edge — see “Model vs. market” below.
ANA
ANAEach team's own xGF% and CF% at 5v5 this season, shown side by side — not a prediction of how tonight's game itself will split. Raw and unadjusted: no score, venue or schedule adjustment.
ANA top scorers
VAN top scorers
Six more reads on this game, past what’s free above: who’s out, how the starters are trending, the on-ice splits, the model’s read against the market, priced props and same-game combinations.
| Side | Grade | Market | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | B | |||
| VAN | B |
PuckCast Edge
Edge members see where the model and the market disagree on this game, and the best price to take.
234 graded Edge plays this season across 35 nights, each recorded before puck drop and graded at the price when captured. See every play
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