PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Pacific Division · Western Conference
| Date | Opponent | Rest | VAN win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs Ducks | 2 days | 44%Final pick |
| Nov 5 | at Jets | 1 day | 38%Model read |
| Nov 7 | at Oilers | 1 day | 28%Model read |
| Nov 9 | vs Flyers | 1 day | 44%Model read |
| Nov 13 | vs Rangers | 3 days | 46%Forecast |
Final pick is the locked call for that night. Model read is today’s read for a game inside the next week and can still move. Forecast comes from preseason team ratings and is replaced by the model read as the game gets close. Rest is full days off since the team’s last game; B2B is the second night of a back-to-back. NHL back-to-back schedule →
14-2the model’s record on Vancouver Canucks games.
Vancouver Canucks is #32 at 4 (down 1 since Sep 7). Scale is 0 to 100; each point is one published Power Index reading.
87.5%
14 of 16 correct
Top 1 of 32: the model is unusually sharp on this team. Lean a bit harder on the model's read here. Full track record →
Each ring is one round deeper, so every number sits inside the one outside it. From 20,000 simulated seasons, before any games were played.
-0.1
Special teams edge
PP 0.2% · PK 0.7%
0.5%
Faceoff win rate
-0.35
Luck score (PDO 99.6)
Near expectation
38.2
Hits + blocks / game
23.8 hits · 14.4 blocks
Percentile rankings vs. all 32 NHL teams
29
Offense
0
Defense
7
Overall
Percentile ranks across 8 dimensions. Larger shape = more complete team.
Scouting Take
The Vancouver Canucks profile as struggling on both ends of the ice. Heavy OT dependency. The standings may be flattering them. In free fall over the last 10. Something needs to change.
Every metric ranked vs. the league, sorted best to worst. Long bar = advantage.
Key Takeaway
Hits (65th) stands out as above-average. Exposed in offense (29th) and road (16th) and defense (0th) and goal diff (0th) and point % (0th) and reg wins (0th) and form (l10) (0th) and home (0th). Opponents will target these areas.
Rank out of 32 teams in each category.
2.94 GPG
4.50 GA/G
-25
21.9%
1 RW in 16 GP
1-8-1
1-6-0
2-6-1
Upcoming
vs Ducks
9:00 PM ET • Rogers Arena
6-7-1 (13 pts)
Win Prob
44%
Model Edge
-6.0
VAN Starter
ANA Starter
Underlying
| Strength | CF% | FF% | xGF% | xGF | xGA | GF | GA | PDO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5v5 | 43.1 | 41.3 | 38.4 | 25.8 | 41.5 | 29 | 47 | 99.6 |
| Power play | 84.8 | 81.7 | 88.6 | 8.6 | 1.1 | 9 | 3 | 98.2 |
| Penalty kill | 8.7 | 9.4 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 15.5 | 2 | 17 | 113.1 |
| All strengths | 44.1 | 42.5 | 39.2 | 38.9 | 60.5 | 47 | 72 | 99.7 |
16 games. Corsi (CF%) and Fenwick (FF%) are shot-attempt shares; xGF% weights those attempts by chance quality. PDO is shooting plus save percentage × 10. It regresses hard toward 100, so a team far from it is usually running hot or cold rather than good or bad. Percentages are coloured against break-even at even strength only; special teams are lopsided by definition. These are raw, unadjusted totals: no score, venue or schedule adjustment.
Roster
Player Intelligence
League board →54
Overall Quality
86% Full Strength
-8 injury impact
77
Top Line
62
Top Pair
75
Starter
Standings