Who is favoured, Pittsburgh Penguins or Los Angeles Kings?

Pittsburgh Penguins, at 50.6% in PuckCast's preseason forecast. That is a rating-based forecast; the full model read, with goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of puck drop.

What is a preseason forecast?

A win probability from each team's regressed preseason rating and home ice, the same ratings behind the 2026-27 projected standings. Those ratings are calibrated at the season level, for standings and playoff odds; this single-game percentage is a plain rating formula and has not been graded on its own yet. It is deliberately unsure about any single game, and the confidence grade says how far it leans.

When does the real prediction publish?

Inside the seven-day window before the game. The model re-scores it on every refresh until puck drop, with the confirmed starting goalies, and this page shows that read instead of the forecast.

Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings, Sat, Nov 7: prediction and odds forecast

PuckCast Edge

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2026-27 forecast · Sat, Nov 7, 9:00 PM ET

Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

97 proj. pts · 50.9% playoffs

Arturs Silovs · 0.888 SV%

Cvs9:00 PM ET

Los Angeles KingsLAK

A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works

The read

Preseason ratings · last season’s record

at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (50.9% to 51.7%); PIT's power play ran at 23.5% against a LAK kill at 75.3%.

In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Darcy Kuemper (LAK) saved -22.9 goals above expected to Arturs Silovs's -23.2, on save percentages of 0.891 and 0.888.

None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Pittsburgh Penguins over Los Angeles Kings is where it starts, not where it ends.

In goal

goalie board

No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.

PIT

Arturs Silovs

SV%: 0.888
GSAx: -23.2
GAA: 3.07
Record: 19-12-8

39 games, 2025-26

LAK

Darcy Kuemper

SV%: 0.891
GSAx: -22.9
GAA: 2.78
Record: 19-14-15

50 games, 2025-26

PIT	Metric	LAK
50.9%	xGF% (5v5)	51.7%
51.1%	Shot share	50.5%
3.4	Goals for / game	2.6
3.1	Goals against / game	2.9
23.5%	Power play	17.1%
81.9%	Penalty kill	75.3%
48.1%	Faceoffs	49.8%

Who drives it

2026-27 projected points

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	Pos	G	A	Pts
Sidney Crosby	C	29	47	76
Evgeni Malkin	C	21	39	59
Erik Karlsson	D	11	38	49
Bryan Rust	R	21	26	47

Los Angeles Kings

Player	Pos	G	A	Pts
Artemi Panarin	L	25	47	72

Date	Game	Pick	Score	Result
2025-11-09	LAK @ PIT	LAK	LAK 3–2 PIT	Correct
2025-10-16	PIT @ LAK	LAK	PIT 4–2 LAK	Missed

Team	Proj. points	Playoff odds
Pittsburgh Penguins	97	50.9%
Los Angeles Kings	90	44.3%

Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.

The read

In goal

Last season, side by side

Who drives it

Schedule around it

Last season, head to head

Season outlook