PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Metropolitan Division · Eastern Conference
| Date | Opponent | Rest | PIT win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs Golden Knights | 2 days | 59%Final pick |
| Nov 5 | vs Bruins | 1 day | 53%Model read |
| Nov 7 | at Kings | 1 day | 49%Model read |
| Nov 8 | at Ducks | B2B | 56%Model read |
| Nov 11 | at Sharks | 2 days | 50%Forecast |
Final pick is the locked call for that night. Model read is today’s read for a game inside the next week and can still move. Forecast comes from preseason team ratings and is replaced by the model read as the game gets close. Rest is full days off since the team’s last game; B2B is the second night of a back-to-back. NHL back-to-back schedule →
8-6the model’s record on Pittsburgh Penguins games.
Pittsburgh Penguins is #26 at 37 (down 24 since Sep 7). Scale is 0 to 100; each point is one published Power Index reading.
57.1%
8 of 14 correct
Rank 18 of 32 across the league. Treat picks as you would any average team. Full track record →
Each ring is one round deeper, so every number sits inside the one outside it. From 20,000 simulated seasons, before any games were played.
+0.1
Special teams edge
PP 0.2% · PK 0.9%
0.5%
Faceoff win rate
-0.17
Luck score (PDO 99.4)
Near expectation
24.5
Hits + blocks / game
11.6 hits · 12.9 blocks
Percentile rankings vs. all 32 NHL teams
58
Offense
19
Defense
28
Overall
Percentile ranks across 8 dimensions. Larger shape = more complete team.
Scouting Take
The Pittsburgh Penguins profile as a middle-of-the-pack club still searching for a clear identity. Heavy OT dependency. The standings may be flattering them. In free fall over the last 10. Something needs to change.
Every metric ranked vs. the league, sorted best to worst. Long bar = advantage.
Key Takeaway
Home (77th) stands out as above-average. Exposed in defense (19th) and point % (19th) and form (l10) (19th) and blocks (16th) and reg wins (10th) and road (3th) and hits (0th). Opponents will target these areas.
Rank out of 32 teams in each category.
3.36 GPG
3.50 GA/G
-2
42.9%
2 RW in 14 GP
3-5-2
4-1-1
1-6-1
Upcoming
vs Golden Knights
7:00 PM ET • PPG Paints Arena
9-5-2 (20 pts)
Win Prob
59%
Model Edge
+8.6
PIT Starter
VGK Starter
Underlying
| Strength | CF% | FF% | xGF% | xGF | xGA | GF | GA | PDO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5v5 | 52.3 | 52.1 | 53.8 | 34.9 | 29.9 | 31 | 35 | 98.3 |
| Power play | 85.3 | 83.3 | 90.6 | 6.2 | 0.6 | 8 | 0 | 120.5 |
| Penalty kill | 11.0 | 14.0 | 12.8 | 1.2 | 8.3 | 2 | 5 | 110.6 |
| All strengths | 51.3 | 50.9 | 51.5 | 46.4 | 43.7 | 49 | 51 | 99.3 |
14 games. Corsi (CF%) and Fenwick (FF%) are shot-attempt shares; xGF% weights those attempts by chance quality. PDO is shooting plus save percentage × 10. It regresses hard toward 100, so a team far from it is usually running hot or cold rather than good or bad. Percentages are coloured against break-even at even strength only; special teams are lopsided by definition. These are raw, unadjusted totals: no score, venue or schedule adjustment.
Roster
51
Overall Quality
83% Full Strength
-13 injury impact
78
Top Line
73
Top Pair
74
Starter
Standings