PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sat, Nov 7, 10:00 PM ET
Tristan Jarry · 0.882 SV%
The preseason ratings make Edmonton Oilers 66.9% to win at home — a clear lean, worth 16.9 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project EDM for 97 points and VAN for 80.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
EDM controlled play at 5v5 last season, 51.0% of the expected goals to 43.2%; EDM's power play ran at 30.5% against a VAN kill at 71.5%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Tristan Jarry (EDM) saved -23.1 goals above expected to Kevin Lankinen's -44.4, on save percentages of 0.882 and 0.875.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Edmonton Oilers over Vancouver Canucks is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
VAN
Kevin Lankinen
47 games, 2025-26
EDM
Tristan Jarry
33 games, 2025-26
| VAN | Metric | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| 43.2% | xGF% (5v5) | 51.0% |
| 46.5% | Shot share | 52.3% |
| 2.6 | Goals for / game | 3.4 |
| 3.8 | Goals against / game | 3.3 |
| 21.8% | Power play | 30.5% |
| 71.5% | Penalty kill | 75.9% |
| 49.3% | Faceoffs | 52.5% |
Vancouver Canucks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 23 | 42 | 65 | |
| R | 25 | 29 | 53 | |
| C | 18 | 28 | 46 | |
| D | 7 | 36 | 43 |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 40 | 87 | 127 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | VAN @ EDM | EDM | VAN 1–6 EDM | Correct |
| 2026-01-17 | EDM @ VAN | EDM | EDM 6–0 VAN | Correct |
| 2025-10-26 | EDM @ VAN | EDM | EDM 3–4 VAN | Missed |
| 2025-10-11 | VAN @ EDM | EDM | VAN 1–3 EDM | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Canucks | 80 | 21.8% |
| Edmonton Oilers | 97 | 60.5% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| C | 37 | 58 | 95 |
| D | 17 | 59 | 76 |
| C | 18 | 34 | 53 |