PuckCast Edge
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2026-27 forecast · Fri, Nov 13, 10:00 PM ET
Adin Hill · 0.871 SV%
The preseason ratings make Vegas Golden Knights 56.7% to win at home — a modest lean, worth 6.7 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project VGK for 96 points and NSH for 93.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
VGK controlled play at 5v5 last season, 54.7% of the expected goals to 47.7%; VGK's power play ran at 24.7% against a NSH kill at 81.7%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Adin Hill (VGK) saved -23.2 goals above expected to Juuse Saros's -28.0, on save percentages of 0.871 and 0.894.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Vegas Golden Knights over Nashville Predators is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
NSH
Juuse Saros
59 games, 2025-26
VGK
Adin Hill
27 games, 2025-26
| NSH | Metric | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| 47.7% | xGF% (5v5) | 54.7% |
| 48.5% | Shot share | 53.5% |
| 3.0 | Goals for / game | 3.3 |
| 3.3 | Goals against / game | 2.9 |
| 23.1% | Power play | 24.7% |
| 81.7% | Penalty kill | 82.2% |
| 50.5% | Faceoffs | 51.3% |
Nashville Predators
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 32 | 36 | 67 | |
| C | 31 | 29 | 59 | |
| C | 17 | 32 | 49 | |
| D | 10 | 32 | 43 |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 25 | 63 | 87 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | VGK @ NSH | VGK | VGK 1–4 NSH | Missed |
| 2026-01-17 | NSH @ VGK | VGK | NSH 2–7 VGK | Correct |
| 2025-12-31 | NSH @ VGK | VGK | NSH 4–2 VGK | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nashville Predators | 93 | 47.6% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 96 | 58.1% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| C | 27 | 55 | 82 |
| R | 17 | 34 | 51 |
| D | 8 | 34 | 42 |