PuckCast Edge
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2026-27 forecast · Sat, Nov 21, 6:00 PM ET
Juuse Saros · 0.894 SV%
The preseason ratings make Nashville Predators 51.8% to win at home — barely a lean at all, worth 1.8 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project NSH for 93 points and PIT for 97.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
PIT controlled play at 5v5 last season, 50.9% of the expected goals to 47.7%; NSH's power play ran at 23.1% against a PIT kill at 81.9%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Arturs Silovs (PIT) saved -23.2 goals above expected to Juuse Saros's -28.0, on save percentages of 0.888 and 0.894.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Nashville Predators over Pittsburgh Penguins is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
PIT
Arturs Silovs
39 games, 2025-26
NSH
Juuse Saros
59 games, 2025-26
| PIT | Metric | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| 50.9% | xGF% (5v5) | 47.7% |
| 51.1% | Shot share | 48.5% |
| 3.4 | Goals for / game | 3.0 |
| 3.1 | Goals against / game | 3.3 |
| 23.5% | Power play | 23.1% |
| 81.9% | Penalty kill | 81.7% |
| 48.1% | Faceoffs | 50.5% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 29 | 47 | 76 | |
| C | 21 | 39 | 59 | |
| D | 11 | 38 | 49 | |
| R | 21 | 26 | 47 |
Nashville Predators
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 32 | 36 | 67 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | NSH @ PIT | PIT | NSH 0–4 PIT | Correct |
| 2025-11-14 | PIT @ NSH | PIT | PIT 1–2 NSH | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 97 | 50.9% |
| Nashville Predators | 93 | 47.6% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| C | 31 | 29 | 59 |
| C | 17 | 32 | 49 |
| D | 10 | 32 | 43 |