Edmonton Oilers at Philadelphia Flyers

at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (51.3% to 51.0%); PHI's power play ran at 14.8% against a EDM kill at 75.9%.

In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Dan Vladar (PHI) saved -5.5 goals above expected to Tristan Jarry's -23.1, on save percentages of 0.906 and 0.882.

None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Philadelphia Flyers over Edmonton Oilers is where it starts, not where it ends.

No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.

EDM

Tristan Jarry

SV%

0.882

GSAx

-23.1

GAA

3.32

Record

18-9-3

33 games, 2025-26

PHI

Dan Vladar

SV%

0.906

GSAx

-5.5

GAA

2.42

Record

29-14-7

52 games, 2025-26