PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sat, Dec 19, 7:00 PM ET
Jake Oettinger · 0.899 SV%
The preseason ratings make Dallas Stars 55.1% to win on the road: a modest lean, worth 5.1 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project DAL for 103 points and WPG for 89.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives Dallas Stars a 55.1% chance to win on Sat, Dec 19. The matchup detail follows.
DAL controlled play at 5v5 last season, 52.0% of the expected goals to 44.6%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Jake Oettinger (DAL) saved -14.5 goals above expected to Stuart Skinner's -28.0, on save percentages of 0.899 and 0.888.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Dallas Stars over Winnipeg Jets is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
DAL
Jake Oettinger
54 games, 2025-26
WPG
Stuart Skinner
50 games, 2025-26
| DAL | Metric | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| 52.0% | xGF% (5v5) | 44.6% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Dallas Stars
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jason Robertson | L | 37 | 49 | 86 |
 Mikko Rantanen | R | 30 | 55 | 85 |
 Wyatt Johnston | C | 42 | 42 | 84 |
 Roope Hintz | C | 22 | 32 | 54 |
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kyle Connor | L | 36 | 46 | 82 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Dallas Stars | 103 | 70.4% |
| Winnipeg Jets | 89 | 38.0% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: WPG 3, DAL 6
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | WPG @ DAL | WPG 2, DAL 3 | DAL hit |
| 2026-04-02 | WPG @ DAL | WPG 0, DAL 3 | DAL hit |
| 2026-02-02 | WPG @ DAL | WPG 3, DAL 4 | DAL hit |
| 2025-12-09 | DAL @ WPG | DAL 4, WPG 3 | DAL hit |
| 2025-10-09 | DAL @ WPG | DAL 5, WPG 4 | WPG missed |
| 2025-04-10 | WPG @ DAL | WPG 4, DAL 0 | WPG hit |
| 2025-03-14 | DAL @ WPG | DAL 1, WPG 4 | WPG hit |
| 2024-12-01 | WPG @ DAL | WPG 1, DAL 3 | DAL hit |
 Mark Scheifele | C | 28 | 45 | 73 |
|---|
 Gabriel Vilardi | C | 26 | 31 | 57 |
|---|
 Josh Morrissey | D | 11 | 37 | 48 |
|---|
WPG@
MIN
