PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Central Division · Western Conference
| Date | Opponent | Rest | DAL win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | at Capitals | 2 days | 49%Final pick |
| Nov 5 | at Blue Jackets | 1 day | 57%Model read |
| Nov 7 | vs Sharks | 1 day | 69%Model read |
| Nov 12 | vs Jets | 4 days | 65%Forecast |
| Nov 14 | vs Sabres | 1 day | 54%Forecast |
Final pick is the locked call for that night. Model read is today’s read for a game inside the next week and can still move. Forecast comes from preseason team ratings and is replaced by the model read as the game gets close. Rest is full days off since the team’s last game; B2B is the second night of a back-to-back. NHL back-to-back schedule →
7-7the model’s record on Dallas Stars games.
Dallas Stars is #9 at 63 (down 18 since Sep 7). Scale is 0 to 100; each point is one published Power Index reading.
50.0%
7 of 14 correct
Rank 26 of 32 across the league. Treat picks as you would any average team. Full track record →
Each ring is one round deeper, so every number sits inside the one outside it. From 20,000 simulated seasons, before any games were played.
+0.2
Special teams edge
PP 0.2% · PK 0.9%
0.6%
Faceoff win rate
+0.11
Luck score (PDO 100.7)
Near expectation
34.1
Hits + blocks / game
19.4 hits · 14.6 blocks
Percentile rankings vs. all 32 NHL teams
19
Offense
100
Defense
64
Overall
Percentile ranks across 8 dimensions. Larger shape = more complete team.
Scouting Take
The Dallas Stars profile as a defensively structured team built to grind out low-event wins. They rely on extras more than you'd like, with too many games going to OT. Trending in the right direction with solid recent form.
Every metric ranked vs. the league, sorted best to worst. Long bar = advantage.
Key Takeaway
Clear strengths in defense, road, goal diff, all above the 65th percentile. Exposed in home (32th) and offense (19th) and hits (19th). Opponents will target these areas.
Rank out of 32 teams in each category.
2.71 GPG
2.21 GA/G
+7
60.7%
5 RW in 14 GP
6-3-1
5-4-0
3-1-1
Upcoming
@ Capitals
7:00 PM ET • Capital One Arena
8-5-0 (16 pts)
Win Prob
49%
Model Edge
-0.6
DAL Starter
WSH Starter
Underlying
| Strength | CF% | FF% | xGF% | xGF | xGA | GF | GA | PDO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5v5 | 51.1 | 52.1 | 52.0 | 25.4 | 23.4 | 23 | 23 | 98.9 |
| Power play | 87.4 | 86.4 | 93.4 | 9.2 | 0.7 | 6 | 0 | 111.5 |
| Penalty kill | 18.5 | 22.0 | 14.0 | 1.3 | 7.9 | 1 | 2 | 101.9 |
| All strengths | 51.3 | 52.5 | 53.8 | 40.1 | 34.4 | 41 | 34 | 100.6 |
14 games. Corsi (CF%) and Fenwick (FF%) are shot-attempt shares; xGF% weights those attempts by chance quality. PDO is shooting plus save percentage × 10. It regresses hard toward 100, so a team far from it is usually running hot or cold rather than good or bad. Percentages are coloured against break-even at even strength only; special teams are lopsided by definition. These are raw, unadjusted totals: no score, venue or schedule adjustment.
Roster
Player Intelligence
League board →61
Overall Quality
88% Full Strength
-6 injury impact
87
Top Line
77
Top Pair
87
Starter
Standings
