PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Tue, Dec 22, 9:40 PM ET
Joey Daccord · 0.897 SV%
The preseason ratings make Seattle Kraken 53.1% to win at home — barely a lean at all, worth 3.1 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project SEA for 88 points and SJS for 91.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
SJS controlled play at 5v5 last season, 47.0% of the expected goals to 45.8%; SEA's power play ran at 19.6% against a SJS kill at 76.4%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Alex Nedeljkovic (SJS) saved -14.6 goals above expected to Joey Daccord's -18.4, on save percentages of 0.896 and 0.897.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Seattle Kraken over San Jose Sharks is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
SJS
Alex Nedeljkovic
40 games, 2025-26
SEA
Joey Daccord
47 games, 2025-26
| SJS | Metric | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| 47.0% | xGF% (5v5) | 45.8% |
| 46.5% | Shot share | 46.5% |
| 3.0 | Goals for / game | 2.7 |
| 3.5 | Goals against / game | 3.1 |
| 21.2% | Power play | 19.6% |
| 76.4% | Penalty kill | 72.2% |
| 47.8% | Faceoffs | 47.7% |
San Jose Sharks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 39 | 60 | 99 | |
| C | 25 | 36 | 60 | |
| L | 17 | 24 | 41 | |
| C | 19 | 22 | 41 |
Seattle Kraken
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 21 | 31 | 51 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | SEA @ SJS | SJS | SEA 4–2 SJS | Missed |
| 2025-11-15 | SJS @ SEA | SEA | SJS 1–4 SEA | Correct |
| 2025-11-05 | SJS @ SEA | SEA | SJS 6–1 SEA | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| San Jose Sharks | 91 | 45.4% |
| Seattle Kraken | 88 | 38.6% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| L | 20 | 25 | 45 |
| D | 10 | 31 | 41 |
| R | 16 | 23 | 39 |