PuckCast Edge
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2026-27 forecast · Mon, Jan 18, 3:00 PM ET
Ilya Sorokin · 0.906 SV%
The preseason ratings make New York Islanders 56.0% to win at home — a modest lean, worth 6.0 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project NYI for 94 points and NSH for 93.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (47.7% to 47.7%); NYI's power play ran at 16.5% against a NSH kill at 81.7%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Ilya Sorokin (NYI) saved -6.3 goals above expected to Juuse Saros's -28.0, on save percentages of 0.906 and 0.894.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. New York Islanders over Nashville Predators is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
NSH
Juuse Saros
59 games, 2025-26
NYI
Ilya Sorokin
55 games, 2025-26
| NSH | Metric | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| 47.7% | xGF% (5v5) | 47.7% |
| 48.5% | Shot share | 50.4% |
| 3.0 | Goals for / game | 2.8 |
| 3.3 | Goals against / game | 2.9 |
| 23.1% | Power play | 16.5% |
| 81.7% | Penalty kill | 80.8% |
| 50.5% | Faceoffs | 52.6% |
Nashville Predators
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 32 | 36 | 67 | |
| C | 31 | 29 | 59 | |
| C | 17 | 32 | 49 | |
| D | 10 | 32 | 43 |
New York Islanders
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 16 | 43 | 59 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | NSH @ NYI | NYI | NSH 4–3 NYI | Missed |
| 2026-01-08 | NYI @ NSH | NSH | NYI 1–2 NSH | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nashville Predators | 93 | 47.6% |
| New York Islanders | 94 | 42.2% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| D | 21 | 34 | 55 |
| C | 22 | 24 | 46 |
| R | 17 | 20 | 36 |