PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Thu, Jan 21, 7:00 PM ET
Dan Vladar · 0.906 SV%
The preseason ratings make Philadelphia Flyers 59.2% to win at home — a modest lean, worth 9.2 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project PHI for 98 points and NSH for 93.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
PHI controlled play at 5v5 last season, 51.3% of the expected goals to 47.7%; PHI's power play ran at 14.8% against a NSH kill at 81.7%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Dan Vladar (PHI) saved -5.5 goals above expected to Juuse Saros's -28.0, on save percentages of 0.906 and 0.894.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Philadelphia Flyers over Nashville Predators is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
NSH
Juuse Saros
59 games, 2025-26
PHI
Dan Vladar
52 games, 2025-26
| NSH | Metric | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| 47.7% | xGF% (5v5) | 51.3% |
| 48.5% | Shot share | 49.5% |
| 3.0 | Goals for / game | 2.8 |
| 3.3 | Goals against / game | 2.9 |
| 23.1% | Power play | 14.8% |
| 81.7% | Penalty kill | 78.7% |
| 50.5% | Faceoffs | 49.6% |
Nashville Predators
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 32 | 36 | 67 | |
| C | 31 | 29 | 59 | |
| C | 17 | 32 | 49 | |
| D | 10 | 32 | 43 |
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 25 | 39 | 64 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | PHI @ NSH | PHI | PHI 3–1 NSH | Correct |
| 2025-10-30 | NSH @ PHI | PHI | NSH 1–4 PHI | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nashville Predators | 93 | 47.6% |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 98 | 53.4% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| R | 24 | 35 | 59 |
| C | 19 | 31 | 50 |
| R | 23 | 22 | 44 |