PuckCast Edge
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2026-27 forecast · Fri, Jan 22, 8:00 PM ET
Spencer Knight · 0.902 SV%
The preseason ratings make Chicago Blackhawks 58.0% to win at home — a modest lean, worth 8.0 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project CHI for 83 points and VAN for 80.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (43.7% to 43.2%); CHI's power play ran at 17.0% against a VAN kill at 71.5%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Spencer Knight (CHI) saved -12.5 goals above expected to Kevin Lankinen's -44.4, on save percentages of 0.902 and 0.875.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Chicago Blackhawks over Vancouver Canucks is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
VAN
Kevin Lankinen
47 games, 2025-26
CHI
Spencer Knight
55 games, 2025-26
| VAN | Metric | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| 43.2% | xGF% (5v5) | 43.7% |
| 46.5% | Shot share | 45.1% |
| 2.6 | Goals for / game | 2.6 |
| 3.8 | Goals against / game | 3.3 |
| 21.8% | Power play | 17.0% |
| 71.5% | Penalty kill | 83.6% |
| 49.3% | Faceoffs | 46.0% |
Vancouver Canucks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 23 | 42 | 65 | |
| R | 25 | 29 | 53 | |
| C | 18 | 28 | 46 | |
| D | 7 | 36 | 43 |
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 31 | 52 | 83 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | VAN @ CHI | CHI | VAN 6–3 CHI | Missed |
| 2025-11-05 | CHI @ VAN | VAN | CHI 5–2 VAN | Missed |
| 2025-10-17 | VAN @ CHI | CHI | VAN 3–2 CHI | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Canucks | 80 | 21.8% |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 83 | 25.9% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| R | 18 | 36 | 54 |
| C | 15 | 29 | 44 |
| C | 16 | 25 | 41 |