PuckCast Edge
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2026-27 forecast · Wed, Feb 3, 7:30 PM ET
Igor Shesterkin · 0.912 SV%
The preseason ratings make New York Rangers 57.2% to win at home: a modest lean, worth 7.2 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project NYR for 91 points and WPG for 89.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives New York Rangers a 57.2% chance to win on Wed, Feb 3. The matchup detail follows.
at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (48.0% to 47.7%).
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Igor Shesterkin (NYR) saved 2.2 goals above expected to Stuart Skinner's -28.0, on save percentages of 0.912 and 0.888.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. New York Rangers over Winnipeg Jets is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
WPG
Stuart Skinner
50 games, 2025-26
NYR
Igor Shesterkin
51 games, 2025-26
| WPG | Metric | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| 47.7% | xGF% (5v5) | 48.0% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 36 | 46 | 82 | |
| C | 28 | 45 | 73 | |
| C | 26 | 31 | 57 | |
| D | 11 | 37 | 48 |
New York Rangers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 11 | 51 | 61 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | WPG @ NYR | NYR | WPG 4–2 NYR | Missed |
| 2026-03-12 | NYR @ WPG | WPG | NYR 6–3 WPG | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Winnipeg Jets | 89 | 38.0% |
| New York Rangers | 91 | 37.5% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| C | 24 | 37 | 61 |
| C | 19 | 37 | 56 |
| R | 32 | 22 | 54 |