PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Wed, Mar 3, 10:00 PM ET
Kevin Lankinen · 0.875 SV%
The preseason ratings make Vancouver Canucks 52.0% to win at home — barely a lean at all, worth 2.0 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project VAN for 80 points and CHI for 83.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (43.2% to 43.7%); VAN's power play ran at 21.8% against a CHI kill at 83.6%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Spencer Knight (CHI) saved -12.5 goals above expected to Kevin Lankinen's -44.4, on save percentages of 0.902 and 0.875.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Vancouver Canucks over Chicago Blackhawks is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
CHI
Spencer Knight
55 games, 2025-26
VAN
Kevin Lankinen
47 games, 2025-26
| CHI | Metric | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| 43.7% | xGF% (5v5) | 43.2% |
| 45.1% | Shot share | 46.5% |
| 2.6 | Goals for / game | 2.6 |
| 3.3 | Goals against / game | 3.8 |
| 17.0% | Power play | 21.8% |
| 83.6% | Penalty kill | 71.5% |
| 46.0% | Faceoffs | 49.3% |
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 31 | 52 | 83 | |
| R | 18 | 36 | 54 | |
| C | 15 | 29 | 44 | |
| C | 16 | 25 | 41 |
Vancouver Canucks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 23 | 42 | 65 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | VAN @ CHI | CHI | VAN 6–3 CHI | Missed |
| 2025-11-05 | CHI @ VAN | VAN | CHI 5–2 VAN | Missed |
| 2025-10-17 | VAN @ CHI | CHI | VAN 3–2 CHI | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago Blackhawks | 83 | 25.9% |
| Vancouver Canucks | 80 | 21.8% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| R | 25 | 29 | 53 |
| C | 18 | 28 | 46 |
| D | 7 | 36 | 43 |