PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Wed, Mar 3, 10:00 PM ET
Spencer Knight · 0.902 SV%
The preseason ratings make Vancouver Canucks 52.0% to win at home: barely a lean at all, worth 2.0 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project VAN for 80 points and CHI for 83.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives Vancouver Canucks a 52.0% chance to win on Wed, Mar 3. The matchup detail follows.
CHI controlled play at 5v5 last season, 39.9% of the expected goals to 38.4%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Spencer Knight (CHI) saved -12.5 goals above expected to Kevin Lankinen's -44.4, on save percentages of 0.902 and 0.875.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Vancouver Canucks over Chicago Blackhawks is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
CHI
Spencer Knight
55 games, 2025-26
VAN
Kevin Lankinen
47 games, 2025-26
| CHI | Metric | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| 39.9% | xGF% (5v5) | 38.4% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 31 | 52 | 83 | |
| R | 18 | 36 | 54 | |
| C | 15 | 29 | 44 | |
| C | 16 | 25 | 41 |
Vancouver Canucks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 23 | 42 | 65 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago Blackhawks | 83 | 25.9% |
| Vancouver Canucks | 80 | 21.8% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: VAN 8, CHI 1
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | VAN @ CHI | VAN 6, CHI 3 | CHI missed |
| 2025-11-05 | CHI @ VAN | CHI 5, VAN 2 | VAN missed |
| 2025-10-17 | VAN @ CHI | VAN 3, CHI 2 | CHI missed |
| 2025-03-15 | CHI @ VAN | CHI 2, VAN 6 | VAN hit |
| 2024-11-16 | CHI @ VAN | CHI 1, VAN 4 | VAN hit |
| 2024-10-22 | VAN @ CHI | VAN 6, CHI 3 | VAN hit |
| 2024-02-13 | VAN @ CHI | VAN 4, CHI 2 | VAN hit |
| 2024-01-22 | CHI @ VAN | CHI 0, VAN 2 | VAN hit |
| R | 25 | 29 | 53 |
| C | 18 | 28 | 46 |
| D | 7 | 36 | 43 |