PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Tue, Mar 9, 7:00 PM ET
Jacob Markstrom · 0.883 SV%
The preseason ratings make Florida Panthers 54.2% to win at home — barely a lean at all, worth 4.2 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project FLA for 92 points and NJD for 94.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
at 5v5 last season the two were level on expected goals (49.8% to 49.0%); FLA's power play ran at 19.6% against a NJD kill at 79.3%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Jake Allen (NJD) saved -7.2 goals above expected to Jacob Markstrom's -29.8, on save percentages of 0.904 and 0.883.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Florida Panthers over New Jersey Devils is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
NJD
Jake Allen
37 games, 2025-26
FLA
Jacob Markstrom
44 games, 2025-26
| NJD | Metric | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| 49.0% | xGF% (5v5) | 49.8% |
| 51.9% | Shot share | 51.1% |
| 2.8 | Goals for / game | 3.0 |
| 3.1 | Goals against / game | 3.3 |
| 21.9% | Power play | 19.6% |
| 79.3% | Penalty kill | 81.0% |
| 50.5% | Faceoffs | 46.8% |
New Jersey Devils
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 31 | 53 | 84 | |
| L | 22 | 51 | 72 | |
| C | 29 | 40 | 68 | |
| D | 8 | 38 | 47 |
Florida Panthers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 29 | 38 | 67 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | FLA @ NJD | FLA | FLA 1–5 NJD | Missed |
| 2025-11-20 | NJD @ FLA | FLA | NJD 0–1 FLA | Correct |
| 2025-10-16 | FLA @ NJD | NJD | FLA 1–3 NJD | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| New Jersey Devils | 94 | 42.3% |
| Florida Panthers | 92 | 38.1% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| C | 31 | 34 | 65 |
| L | 23 | 41 | 63 |
| C | 23 | 29 | 52 |