PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sat, Mar 13, 7:00 PM ET
Connor Hellebuyck · 0.895 SV%
The preseason ratings make Carolina Hurricanes 63.1% to win at home: a clear lean, worth 13.1 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project CAR for 105 points and NJD for 94.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives Carolina Hurricanes a 63.1% chance to win on Sat, Mar 13. The matchup detail follows.
CAR controlled play at 5v5 last season, 60.4% of the expected goals to 57.7%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Brandon Bussi (CAR) saved -14.9 goals above expected to Connor Hellebuyck's -22.8, on save percentages of 0.895 and 0.895.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Carolina Hurricanes over New Jersey Devils is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
NJD
Connor Hellebuyck
57 games, 2025-26
CAR
Brandon Bussi
39 games, 2025-26
| NJD | Metric | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| 57.7% | xGF% (5v5) | 60.4% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
New Jersey Devils
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jack Hughes | C | 31 | 53 | 84 |
 Jesper Bratt | L | 22 | 51 | 72 |
 Nico Hischier | C | 29 | 40 | 68 |
 Luke Hughes | D | 8 | 38 | 47 |
Carolina Hurricanes
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sebastian Aho | C | 29 | 47 | 76 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| New Jersey Devils | 94 | 42.3% |
| Carolina Hurricanes | 105 | 69.3% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: CAR 9, NJD 2
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | NJD @ CAR | NJD 2, CAR 5 | CAR hit |
| 2026-01-17 | CAR @ NJD | CAR 4, NJD 1 | CAR hit |
| 2026-01-04 | CAR @ NJD | CAR 3, NJD 1 | CAR hit |
| 2025-10-09 | NJD @ CAR | NJD 3, CAR 6 | CAR hit |
| 2024-12-28 | NJD @ CAR | NJD 2, CAR 5 | CAR hit |
| 2024-12-27 | CAR @ NJD | CAR 2, NJD 4 | NJD hit |
| 2024-11-21 | CAR @ NJD | CAR 2, NJD 4 | CAR missed |
| 2024-10-15 | NJD @ CAR | NJD 2, CAR 4 | CAR hit |
 Seth Jarvis | R | 33 | 38 | 71 |
|---|
 Andrei Svechnikov | R | 26 | 37 | 63 |
|---|
 Nikolaj Ehlers | L | 22 | 36 | 58 |
|---|
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