PuckCast Edge
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2026-27 forecast · Thu, Mar 18, 10:00 PM ET
Lukas Dostal · 0.888 SV%
The preseason ratings make Anaheim Ducks 51.4% to win at home — barely a lean at all, worth 1.4 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project ANA for 94 points and UTA for 99.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
UTA controlled play at 5v5 last season, 52.6% of the expected goals to 51.0%; ANA's power play ran at 20.2% against a UTA kill at 78.3%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Karel Vejmelka (UTA) saved -22.7 goals above expected to Lukas Dostal's -32.8, on save percentages of 0.897 and 0.888.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Anaheim Ducks over Utah Mammoth is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
UTA
Karel Vejmelka
64 games, 2025-26
ANA
Lukas Dostal
56 games, 2025-26
| UTA | Metric | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| 52.6% | xGF% (5v5) | 51.0% |
| 51.2% | Shot share | 52.4% |
| 3.3 | Goals for / game | 3.2 |
| 3.0 | Goals against / game | 3.5 |
| 19.1% | Power play | 20.2% |
| 78.3% | Penalty kill | 75.6% |
| 49.1% | Faceoffs | 47.8% |
Utah Mammoth
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 27 | 53 | 80 | |
| R | 33 | 33 | 66 | |
| C | 29 | 33 | 61 | |
| C | 22 | 37 | 59 |
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 34 | 29 | 63 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | ANA @ UTA | UTA | ANA 4–1 UTA | Missed |
| 2025-12-03 | UTA @ ANA | ANA | UTA 7–0 ANA | Missed |
| 2025-11-17 | UTA @ ANA | UTA | UTA 2–3 ANA | Missed |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Utah Mammoth | 99 | 60.8% |
| Anaheim Ducks | 94 | 53.3% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| C | 25 | 34 | 60 |
| R | 21 | 34 | 55 |
| R | 19 | 33 | 51 |