PuckCast Edge
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2026-27 forecast · Thu, Mar 25, 10:00 PM ET
Kevin Lankinen · 0.875 SV%
The preseason ratings make Vegas Golden Knights 56.7% to win on the road — a modest lean, worth 6.7 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project VGK for 96 points and VAN for 80.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How the model works
VGK controlled play at 5v5 last season, 54.7% of the expected goals to 43.2%; VGK's power play ran at 24.7% against a VAN kill at 71.5%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Adin Hill (VGK) saved -23.2 goals above expected to Kevin Lankinen's -44.4, on save percentages of 0.871 and 0.875.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction — confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market — publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Vegas Golden Knights over Vancouver Canucks is where it starts, not where it ends.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
VGK
Adin Hill
27 games, 2025-26
VAN
Kevin Lankinen
47 games, 2025-26
| VGK | Metric | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| 54.7% | xGF% (5v5) | 43.2% |
| 53.5% | Shot share | 46.5% |
| 3.3 | Goals for / game | 2.6 |
| 2.9 | Goals against / game | 3.8 |
| 24.7% | Power play | 21.8% |
| 82.2% | Penalty kill | 71.5% |
| 51.3% | Faceoffs | 49.3% |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 25 | 63 | 87 | |
| C | 27 | 55 | 82 | |
| R | 17 | 34 | 51 | |
| D | 8 | 34 | 42 |
Vancouver Canucks
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 23 | 42 | 65 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | VGK @ VAN | VGK | VGK 2–1 VAN | Correct |
| 2026-03-30 | VAN @ VGK | VGK | VAN 2–4 VGK | Correct |
| 2026-02-04 | VAN @ VGK | VGK | VAN 2–5 VGK | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights | 96 | 58.1% |
| Vancouver Canucks | 80 | 21.8% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| R | 25 | 29 | 53 |
| C | 18 | 28 | 46 |
| D | 7 | 36 | 43 |