PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Thu, Apr 1, 8:00 PM ET
Dustin Wolf · 0.899 SV%
The preseason ratings make St. Louis Blues 58.7% to win at home: a modest lean, worth 8.7 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project STL for 94 points and CGY for 89.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives St. Louis Blues a 58.7% chance to win on Thu, Apr 1. The matchup detail follows.
STL controlled play at 5v5 last season, 49.9% of the expected goals to 47.9%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Dustin Wolf (CGY) saved -17.8 goals above expected to Jordan Binnington's -37.1, on save percentages of 0.899 and 0.873.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. St. Louis Blues over Calgary Flames is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
CGY
Dustin Wolf
57 games, 2025-26
STL
Jordan Binnington
41 games, 2025-26
| CGY | Metric | STL |
|---|---|---|
| 47.9% | xGF% (5v5) | 49.9% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jonathan Huberdeau | L | 15 | 29 | 45 |
 Matt Coronato | R | 18 | 24 | 43 |
 Morgan Frost | C | 16 | 22 | 38 |
 Joel Farabee | L | 17 | 20 | 36 |
St. Louis Blues
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Robert Thomas | C | 22 | 50 | 72 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Calgary Flames | 89 | 41.6% |
| St. Louis Blues | 94 | 50.0% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: STL 8, CGY 1
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | STL @ CGY | STL 1, CGY 3 | CGY hit |
| 2025-11-11 | CGY @ STL | CGY 2, STL 3 | STL hit |
| 2025-10-11 | STL @ CGY | STL 4, CGY 2 | STL hit |
| 2025-01-16 | CGY @ STL | CGY 1, STL 4 | STL hit |
| 2025-01-14 | CGY @ STL | CGY 1, STL 2 | STL hit |
| 2024-12-05 | STL @ CGY | STL 4, CGY 3 | CGY missed |
| 2024-03-28 | CGY @ STL | CGY 3, STL 5 | STL hit |
| 2024-01-23 | STL @ CGY | STL 4, CGY 3 | CGY missed |
 Jimmy Snuggerud | R | 22 | 31 | 52 |
|---|
 Pavel Buchnevich | L | 19 | 30 | 49 |
|---|
 Mason McTavish | C | 20 | 29 | 49 |
|---|
STL@
VGK
