PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sat, Apr 10, 6:00 PM ET
Arturs Silovs · 0.888 SV%
The preseason ratings make New Jersey Devils 52.5% to win at home: barely a lean at all, worth 2.5 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project NJD for 94 points and PIT for 97.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives New Jersey Devils a 52.5% chance to win on Sat, Apr 10. The matchup detail follows.
NJD controlled play at 5v5 last season, 57.7% of the expected goals to 53.8%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Connor Hellebuyck (NJD) saved -22.8 goals above expected to Arturs Silovs's -23.2, on save percentages of 0.895 and 0.888.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. New Jersey Devils over Pittsburgh Penguins is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
PIT
Arturs Silovs
39 games, 2025-26
NJD
Connor Hellebuyck
57 games, 2025-26
| PIT | Metric | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| 53.8% | xGF% (5v5) | 57.7% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 29 | 47 | 76 | |
| C | 21 | 39 | 59 | |
| D | 11 | 38 | 49 | |
| R | 21 | 26 | 47 |
New Jersey Devils
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 31 | 53 | 84 |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 97 | 50.9% |
| New Jersey Devils | 94 | 42.3% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
Final scores from the graded ledger. A loss in overtime also reads L.
Last three seasons: NJD 5, PIT 6
| Date | Game | Final | Our pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | PIT @ NJD | PIT 5, NJD 2 | NJD missed |
| 2026-02-26 | NJD @ PIT | NJD 1, PIT 4 | PIT hit |
| 2026-01-08 | NJD @ PIT | NJD 1, PIT 4 | PIT hit |
| 2025-11-08 | PIT @ NJD | PIT 1, NJD 3 | NJD hit |
| 2025-04-11 | PIT @ NJD | PIT 4, NJD 2 | NJD missed |
| 2025-03-15 | NJD @ PIT | NJD 3, PIT 7 | NJD missed |
| 2025-02-04 | NJD @ PIT | NJD 5, PIT 4 | NJD hit |
| 2024-12-21 | PIT @ NJD | PIT 0, NJD 3 | NJD hit |
| L | 22 | 51 | 72 |
| C | 29 | 40 | 68 |
| D | 8 | 38 | 47 |