PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2026-27 forecast · Sat, Apr 10, 7:00 PM ET
Linus Ullmark · 0.891 SV%
The preseason ratings make Ottawa Senators 54.1% to win at home: barely a lean at all, worth 4.2 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project OTT for 100 points and MTL for 102.
A preseason forecast from each team's regressed rating and home ice, the ratings behind the projected standings. The full model read, with the starting goalies, rest and form, publishes within seven days of the game and replaces this page’s numbers. How this is calculated
PuckCast's preseason forecast gives Ottawa Senators a 54.1% chance to win on Sat, Apr 10. The matchup detail follows.
OTT controlled play at 5v5 last season, 55.4% of the expected goals to 50.0%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Linus Ullmark (OTT) saved -23.2 goals above expected to Samuel Montembeault's -23.9, on save percentages of 0.891 and 0.872.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Ottawa Senators over Montréal Canadiens is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
MTL
Samuel Montembeault
25 games, 2025-26
OTT
Linus Ullmark
49 games, 2025-26
| MTL | Metric | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| 50.0% | xGF% (5v5) | 55.4% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Montréal Canadiens
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nick Suzuki | C | 29 | 60 | 90 |
 Lane Hutson | D | 11 | 67 | 77 |
 Cole Caufield | R | 41 | 35 | 76 |
 Juraj Slafkovský | L | 24 | 38 | 62 |
Ottawa Senators
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tim Stützle | C | 32 | 57 | 90 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | MTL @ OTT | OTT | MTL 3–2 OTT | Missed |
| 2026-01-17 | MTL @ OTT | OTT | MTL 6–5 OTT | Missed |
| 2025-12-02 | OTT @ MTL | MTL | OTT 5–2 MTL | Missed |
| 2025-11-01 | OTT @ MTL | MTL | OTT 3–4 MTL | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Montréal Canadiens | 102 | 61.2% |
| Ottawa Senators | 100 | 58.0% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
 Drake Batherson | R | 26 | 37 | 63 |
|---|
 William Eklund | L | 17 | 40 | 57 |
|---|
 Jake Sanderson | D | 12 | 42 | 54 |
|---|
