PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Atlantic Division · Eastern Conference
| Date | Opponent | Rest | OTT win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | at Sabres | 2 days | 46%Model read |
| Nov 7 | vs Mammoth | 2 days | 45%Model read |
| Nov 10 | vs Capitals | 2 days | 57%Forecast |
| Nov 12 | vs Avalanche | 1 day | 51%Forecast |
| Nov 14 | at Penguins | 1 day | 47%Forecast |
Final pick is the locked call for that night. Model read is today’s read for a game inside the next week and can still move. Forecast comes from preseason team ratings and is replaced by the model read as the game gets close. Rest is full days off since the team’s last game; B2B is the second night of a back-to-back. NHL back-to-back schedule →
9-7the model’s record on Ottawa Senators games.
Ottawa Senators is #17 at 52 (down 20 since Sep 7). Scale is 0 to 100; each point is one published Power Index reading.
56.3%
9 of 16 correct
Rank 22 of 32 across the league. Treat picks as you would any average team. Full track record →
Each ring is one round deeper, so every number sits inside the one outside it. From 20,000 simulated seasons, before any games were played.
-0.1
Special teams edge
PP 0.1% · PK 0.7%
0.5%
Faceoff win rate
+0.11
Luck score (PDO 100.4)
Near expectation
39.4
Hits + blocks / game
24.2 hits · 15.3 blocks
Percentile rankings vs. all 32 NHL teams
52
Offense
55
Defense
51
Overall
Percentile ranks across 8 dimensions. Larger shape = more complete team.
Scouting Take
The Ottawa Senators profile as a middle-of-the-pack club still searching for a clear identity. A solid regulation win rate suggests they can close out games. Losing more than they're winning lately. Concerning trajectory.
Every metric ranked vs. the league, sorted best to worst. Long bar = advantage.
Key Takeaway
Clear strengths in blocks, home, hits, all above the 65th percentile. Form (L10) (29th) is the one clear weakness opponents can exploit.
Rank out of 32 teams in each category.
3.25 GPG
3.19 GA/G
+1
59.4%
7 RW in 16 GP
4-5-1
5-2-0
4-4-1
Underlying
| Strength | CF% | FF% | xGF% | xGF | xGA | GF | GA | PDO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5v5 | 48.9 | 48.5 | 51.3 | 29.5 | 27.9 | 32 | 25 | 102.7 |
| Power play | 85.3 | 83.7 | 89.2 | 11.0 | 1.3 | 8 | 3 | 92.5 |
| Penalty kill | 9.7 | 12.5 | 8.0 | 1.1 | 12.9 | 2 | 13 | 101.5 |
| All strengths | 49.3 | 49.0 | 50.8 | 49.0 | 47.4 | 53 | 52 | 101.0 |
16 games. Corsi (CF%) and Fenwick (FF%) are shot-attempt shares; xGF% weights those attempts by chance quality. PDO is shooting plus save percentage × 10. It regresses hard toward 100, so a team far from it is usually running hot or cold rather than good or bad. Percentages are coloured against break-even at even strength only; special teams are lopsided by definition. These are raw, unadjusted totals: no score, venue or schedule adjustment.
Roster
38
Overall Quality
78% Full Strength
-19 injury impact
83
Top Line
79
Top Pair
42
Starter
Standings
