PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
2025-26 stats Shown until 2026-27 has enough games. Updates automatically. See 2026-27 projection →
Atlantic Division · Eastern Conference
55.0%
44 of 80 correct
Rank 17 of 32 across the league. Treat picks as you would any average team. Full track record →
Each ring is one round deeper, so every number sits inside the one outside it. From 20,000 simulated seasons, before any games were played.
-0.0
Special teams edge
PP 0.2% · PK 0.8%
0.5%
Faceoff win rate
+0.04
Luck score (PDO 99.3)
Near expectation
38.4
Hits + blocks / game
24.7 hits · 13.7 blocks
Percentile rankings vs. all 32 NHL teams
74
Offense
68
Defense
74
Overall
Percentile ranks across 8 dimensions. Larger shape = more complete team.
Scouting Take
The Ottawa Senators profile as a balanced, two-way team that can beat you multiple ways. They don't need overtime — most of their wins come in regulation, a sign of genuine dominance. Trending in the right direction with solid recent form.
Every metric ranked vs. the league, sorted best to worst. Long bar = advantage.
Key Takeaway
Clear strengths in hits, reg wins, goal diff — all above the 65th percentile. Blocks (29th) is the one clear weakness opponents can exploit.
Rank out of 32 teams in each category.
3.39 GPG
3.00 GA/G
+32
60.4%
38 RW in 82 GP
6-3-1
23-12-6
21-15-5
Underlying
| Strength | CF% | FF% | xGF% | xGF | xGA | GF | GA | PDO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5v5 | 52.9 | 53.7 | 55.4 | 173.2 | 139.3 | 179 | 163 | 99.3 |
| Power play | 89.7 | 89.0 | 91.6 | 53.1 | 4.9 | 60 | 5 | 106.3 |
| Penalty kill | 12.9 | 14.9 | 14.5 | 6.3 | 37.3 | 6 | 47 | 93.2 |
| All strengths | 53.3 | 54.0 | 55.9 | 252.0 | 198.6 | 281 | 247 | 99.5 |
82 games. Corsi (CF%) and Fenwick (FF%) are shot-attempt shares; xGF% weights those attempts by chance quality. PDO is shooting plus save percentage × 10 — it regresses hard toward 100, so a team far from it is usually running hot or cold rather than good or bad. Percentages are coloured against break-even at even strength only; special teams are lopsided by definition. These are raw, unadjusted totals — no score, venue or schedule adjustment.
Roster
72
Overall Quality
67% Full Strength
82
Top Line
81
Top Pair
80
Starter
Standings · 2025-26 Final
2026-27 hasn't started — showing the 2025-26 final order, with 2026-27 projected points alongside.