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Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Defenseman•#48STEADYPPI 90Matthew Schaefer is a 19-year-old defenseman for the New York Islanders. Selected 1st overall by NYI in the 2025 NHL Draft. Born in Hamilton, CAN. At 19, Matthew is among the younger players in the league.
On the blue line this season, Matthew has recorded 4 goals and 10 assists for 14 points across 14 games. He averages 1.00 points per game on 26:47 of ice time.
2026-27 · Regular season
2026-27 projection
Projected September 28, 2026 — 80% range on points. All 2026-27 player projections
80% range: 37–74 pts
STEADY — 79th percentile at D, 56% hit rate (82 GP, 2025-26)
2026-27 · Regular season
Full statistical breakdown for the 2026-27 regular season.
League percentile
Vs. all NHL skaters, 10+ games played. 99 = best, 1 = lowest.
2026-27 pace
Where Matthew's current rate finishes the 2026-27 season.
End of season forecast, current pace
68
games remaining
Goals
23
Current: 4
Assists
59
Current: 10
Points
82
Current: 14
Strong production expected. Most likely outcome is 65-100 points, establishing this player as a top-line contributor.
0.0%
Art Ross
Most Points
0.0%
Rocket
Most Goals
0.0%
Playmaker
Most Assists
Projections based on current pace extrapolated to the full season with variance modeling.
5v5
What happened while Matthew was on the ice at 5v5, and who he was sent out against. 2026-27.
5v5 only (situationCode 1551), unblocked attempts, shift-chart attribution. 14 games, 383 unblocked attempts on the ice.
Quality of competition
59.6 vs 57.3 lg
62th percentile
Quality of teammates
51.4 vs 56.8 lg
23th percentile
Deployment
neutral
by competition faced
Competition and teammate quality are the average on-ice strength of the players he shared the ice with at 5v5, on the same 0–100 scale as the league averages beside them.
Shot Selection
Where Matthew takes his shots, and how each zone converts.
Unblocked attempts
71
Goals vs expected
4 vs 3.3 xG
5v5 scoring-chance share
14%
With-or-without-you
Who Matthew plays with at 5v5, and how the shot-quality share moves when they are apart — a with-or-without-you read.
| Teammate | Together | xGF% with | xGF% apart | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan StanleyD | 146 min | 58.6 | 47.9 | +10.7 |
5v5, real shift-overlap TOI; Corsi incl blocked, xG unblocked. “Apart” is that teammate’s share in the minutes he played without Matthew, so the swing is a comparison of the same player in two situations rather than against the league. Pairs need 100 minutes together to appear at all, and a swing still carries whoever else was on the ice — it is a strong hint, not an isolated effect.
2026-27
PuckCast Player Intelligence, and the skill radar and on-ice impact behind it.
Skill radar & on-ice impact vs. NHL defensemen
81
Offense
48
Defense
Percentile ranks across 6 skill dimensions. Larger shape = more complete player.
Scouting Take
Displays elite offensive production, a top on-ice shot share, elite finishing ability, exceptional playmaking.
On-ice impact mirrored side by side. Equal bars = balanced. Asymmetry = one-dimensional.
The Gap
33-pt spreadThe 33-point spread between offensive (81th) and defensive (48th) percentiles is significant for a defenseman. Elite offensive creation but defensive liability.
Percentile ranks across 6 skill dimensions.
Scouting Take
Displays elite offensive production, a top on-ice shot share, elite finishing ability, exceptional playmaking.
On-ice impact mirrored side by side.
The Gap
33-pt spreadThe 33-point spread between offensive (81th) and defensive (48th) percentiles is significant for a defenseman. Elite offensive creation but defensive liability.
Career
Season-by-season NHL regular season statistics throughout Matthew Schaefer's career.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | S | S% | PIM | PPG | TOI/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26-272026-27 | NYI | 14 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -1 | 52 | 7.7% | |||
| 25-262025-26 | NYI | 82 | 23 | 36 | 59 | +13 | 222 | 10.4% | |||
| Career | — | 96 | 27 | 46 | 73 | +12 | 274 | 9.9% |
Form
Matthew's last five games played — playoff games included if his team advanced, since the NHL does not separate them here.
| Date | Opp | G | A | P | +/- | S | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | vs EDM | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 24:33 |
| Oct 29 | @ MIN | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 30:01 |
| Oct 27 | @ NSH | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 32:16 |
| Oct 25 | @ DAL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26:16 |
| Oct 22 | vs LAK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 29:24 |
Similar defensemans
Same position, comparable 2026-27 projected rate and 2026-27 shot/power-play rate. Compare Matthew to another player
Roster
Top teammates by points on the New York Islanders this season.
Bars are share of unblocked attempts, where he chooses to shoot, over a full season, which is the stable part. xG/100 compares his shot quality from a zone against the league rate for a defenceman. GAx is goals above expected there, a single season and noisy, zones marked * are flagged small-sample by the generator and are shown muted rather than hidden.
D · CHI
Anthony Duclair
LW · 5 pts
