PuckCast Edge
Every pick is free. The Edge is the rest.
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Sat, Oct 3, 7:00 PM ET
Dan Vladar · 0.906 SV%
The preseason ratings make Philadelphia Flyers 50.1% to win at home: barely a lean at all, worth 0.1 points over a coin flip, which grades C. Over a full season those same ratings project PHI for 98 points and CAR for 105.
The model leaned Philadelphia Flyers at 50.1%.
PuckCast had Philadelphia Flyers at 50.1% to win this game on Sat, Oct 3. The matchup detail follows.
CAR controlled play at 5v5 last season, 56.5% of the expected goals to 51.3%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Dan Vladar (PHI) saved -5.5 goals above expected to Brandon Bussi's -14.9, on save percentages of 0.906 and 0.895.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Philadelphia Flyers over Carolina Hurricanes is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
CAR
Brandon Bussi
39 games, 2025-26
PHI
Dan Vladar
52 games, 2025-26
| CAR | Metric | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| 56.5% | xGF% (5v5) | 51.3% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Carolina Hurricanes
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sebastian Aho | C | 29 | 47 | 76 |
 Andrei Svechnikov | R | 26 | 37 | 63 |
 Nikolaj Ehlers | L | 22 | 36 | 58 |
 Jackson Blake | R | 20 | 26 | 45 |
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matvei Michkov | R | 24 | 35 | 59 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | CAR @ PHI | CAR | CAR 2–3 PHI | Missed |
| 2025-12-14 | PHI @ CAR | CAR | PHI 2–3 CAR | Correct |
| 2025-12-13 | CAR @ PHI | CAR | CAR 4–3 PHI | Correct |
| 2025-10-11 | PHI @ CAR | CAR | PHI 3–4 CAR | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Carolina Hurricanes | 105 | 69.3% |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 98 | 53.4% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
 Trevor Zegras | C | 19 | 31 | 50 |
|---|
 Owen Tippett | R | 23 | 22 | 44 |
|---|
 Noah Cates | L | 14 | 23 | 37 |
|---|
PHI@
BOS
