PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Final · Wed, Oct 7, 7:30 PM ET
Stuart Skinner · 0.888 SV%
The preseason ratings make Colorado Avalanche 58.0% to win on the road: a modest lean, worth 8.0 points over a coin flip, which grades B. Over a full season those same ratings project COL for 107 points and WPG for 89.
The model leaned Colorado Avalanche at 58.0%.
PuckCast had Colorado Avalanche at 58.0% to win this game on Wed, Oct 7. The matchup detail follows.
COL controlled play at 5v5 last season, 57.6% of the expected goals to 47.7%.
In goal, neither team has named a starter. Last season Mackenzie Blackwood (COL) saved -6.0 goals above expected to Stuart Skinner's -28.0, on save percentages of 0.904 and 0.888.
None of that is the model read. This is a rating-and-home-ice forecast; the full prediction, with confirmed goalies, rest and form, priced against the market, publishes inside the seven days before puck drop and replaces these numbers. Colorado Avalanche over Winnipeg Jets is where it starts, not where it ends.
No sportsbook has posted a price for this game yet. Prices usually appear roughly a week before puck drop.
No starter is named this far out. These are each side’s projected starters on the current roster, with last season’s numbers.
COL
Mackenzie Blackwood
39 games, 2025-26
WPG
Stuart Skinner
50 games, 2025-26
| COL | Metric | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| 57.6% | xGF% (5v5) | 47.7% |
| — | Shot share | — |
| — | Goals for / game | — |
| — | Goals against / game | — |
| — | Power play | — |
| — | Penalty kill | — |
| — | Faceoffs | — |
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 38 | 70 | 108 | |
| D | 23 | 60 | 84 | |
| C | 29 | 51 | 80 | |
| C | 18 | 27 | 45 |
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | Pos | G | A | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | 36 | 46 | 82 |
| Date | Game | Pick | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | WPG @ COL | COL | WPG 4–2 COL | Missed |
| 2026-03-26 | COL @ WPG | COL | COL 3–2 WPG | Correct |
| 2026-03-14 | COL @ WPG | COL | COL 1–3 WPG | Missed |
| 2025-12-19 | WPG @ COL | COL | WPG 2–3 COL | Correct |
| Team | Proj. points | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Colorado Avalanche | 107 | 78.3% |
| Winnipeg Jets | 89 | 38.0% |
Forecast method preseason-elo-v1; ratings as of 2026-08-19.
| C | 28 | 45 | 73 |
| C | 26 | 31 | 57 |
| C | 15 | 25 | 40 |