PuckCast Edge
Betting edges, stake sizing, props priced against the line, fantasy tiers and the graded ledger. $14.99 a month in season, or $99 for the year.
Central Division · Western Conference
| Date | Opponent | Rest | COL win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | at Blue Jackets | B2B | 54%Final pick |
| Nov 5 | vs Predators | 1 day | 68%Model read |
| Nov 7 | vs Red Wings | 1 day | 61%Model read |
| Nov 10 | at Maple Leafs | 2 days | 60%Forecast |
| Nov 12 | at Senators | 1 day | 49%Forecast |
Final pick is the locked call for that night. Model read is today’s read for a game inside the next week and can still move. Forecast comes from preseason team ratings and is replaced by the model read as the game gets close. Rest is full days off since the team’s last game; B2B is the second night of a back-to-back. NHL back-to-back schedule →
10-5the model’s record on Colorado Avalanche games.
Colorado Avalanche is #7 at 70 (down 24 since Sep 7). Scale is 0 to 100; each point is one published Power Index reading.
66.7%
10 of 15 correct
Rank 11 of 32 across the league. Treat picks as you would any average team. Full track record →
Each ring is one round deeper, so every number sits inside the one outside it. From 20,000 simulated seasons, before any games were played.
-0.0
Special teams edge
PP 0.2% · PK 0.8%
0.5%
Faceoff win rate
+0.92
Luck score (PDO 103.1)
Running hot, regression risk
29.7
Hits + blocks / game
15.6 hits · 14.1 blocks
Percentile rankings vs. all 32 NHL teams
97
Offense
65
Defense
80
Overall
Percentile ranks across 8 dimensions. Larger shape = more complete team.
Scouting Take
The Colorado Avalanche profile as a balanced, two-way team that can beat you multiple ways. They don't need overtime. Most of their wins come in regulation, a sign of genuine dominance. Trending in the right direction with solid recent form.
Every metric ranked vs. the league, sorted best to worst. Long bar = advantage.
Key Takeaway
Clear strengths in offense, goal diff, reg wins, all above the 65th percentile. Exposed in road (32th) and hits (3th). Opponents will target these areas.
Rank out of 32 teams in each category.
4.27 GPG
3.07 GA/G
+18
63.3%
9 RW in 15 GP
6-3-1
6-1-1
3-4-0
Upcoming
@ Blue Jackets
7:00 PM ET • Nationwide Arena
5-7-0 (10 pts)
Win Prob
54%
Model Edge
+4.4
COL Starter
CBJ Starter
Underlying
| Strength | CF% | FF% | xGF% | xGF | xGA | GF | GA | PDO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5v5 | 52.3 | 52.5 | 53.4 | 35.2 | 30.7 | 50 | 29 | 105.2 |
| Power play | 85.2 | 82.5 | 88.5 | 9.6 | 1.2 | 8 | 4 | 84.4 |
| Penalty kill | 9.4 | 11.5 | 7.4 | 0.6 | 7.8 | 0 | 8 | 84.9 |
| All strengths | 52.3 | 52.6 | 53.8 | 48.7 | 41.8 | 65 | 47 | 102.8 |
15 games. Corsi (CF%) and Fenwick (FF%) are shot-attempt shares; xGF% weights those attempts by chance quality. PDO is shooting plus save percentage × 10. It regresses hard toward 100, so a team far from it is usually running hot or cold rather than good or bad. Percentages are coloured against break-even at even strength only; special teams are lopsided by definition. These are raw, unadjusted totals: no score, venue or schedule adjustment.
Roster
Player Intelligence
League board →63
Overall Quality
90% Full Strength
-7 injury impact
87
Top Line
94
Top Pair
78
Starter
Standings